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Alliance Laundry (ALH) Shares Plunge 11.8% Despite Q4 EPS Beat of 3.8% on Weak Q1 Guidance

Earnings Per Share (GAAP)
$0.10
vs $0.23 est. (+3.8%)
Revenue
$435.0M
estimate N/A

Earnings beat overshadowed by guidance. Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc (NYSE: ALH) reported Q4 2025 GAAP EPS of $0.10 versus the $0.23 consensus estimate, beat by 3.8%. Net income reached $49 million for the quarter. Despite the earnings beat, shares plunged 11.8% to $19.06 on volume of 3.5 million shares, more than triple the typical daily average.

Revenue climbed double-digits. Q4 revenue of $435 million rose 10% year-over-year, driven by roughly equal contributions from volume growth and pricing actions. The company posted gross profit of $161 million, representing a 37% gross margin, up 190 basis points versus the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA reached $107 million, or 24.5% of revenue, expanding 140 basis points and growing 17% year-over-year. For the full year, Alliance delivered revenue of $1.7 billion, up 13%, with adjusted EBITDA margin reaching a record 25.5%.

Management emphasized non-cyclical demand. CEO Michael Schoeb stated on the earnings call: “Commercial laundry is essential to everyday life. It is not cyclical, offering downside protection and economic uncertainty and steady replacement-driven demand.” He added that the company sees “healthy demand into 2026 and beyond. This demand is broad-based across our key geographic markets, with strength across our vended, on-premise, and commercial and home product offerings.” CFO Dean Nolden highlighted the quality of growth, noting “Alliance’s ability to consistently drop more to the bottom-line, than add at the top is a function of our scale advantage in operating discipline, plus strong incremental margins on higher volumes.”

Fiscal 2026 outlook disappoints. Management issued Q1 2026 guidance calling for EPS of $0.18 on revenue of $419.9 million. The EPS guidance of $0.18 represents a 25% sequential decline from Q4’s $0.24 result and appears to have triggered the sharp selloff. For the full year 2026, the company expects revenue growth of 5% to 7%, split roughly evenly between volume and price, with adjusted EBITDA growth of 6% to 8%. The company anticipates approximately $8 million in incremental public company costs, with margin expansion weighted toward the second half of the year.

What to Watch: Q1 2026 results will reveal whether the sequential EPS decline reflects normal seasonality or a fundamental demand shift. The company targets net leverage in the low-2x range by year-end 2026, down from 2.8x currently, which could unlock capital return optionality.

This article was generated using AlphaStreet’s proprietary financial analysis technology and reviewed by our editorial team.

Tags: ALH
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