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ArcBest Q4 adjusted EPS misses estimates as revenue tops expectations

ArcBest Corporation (Nasdaq: ARCB) on Friday reported fourth-quarter 2025 results that underscored the impact of a sustained freight recession on the logistics sector. While the company exceeded top-line expectations with revenue of $972.7 million, its adjusted earnings per share of $0.36 fell short of the $0.42 consensus estimate, reflecting a 72.9% year-over-year decline in adjusted […]

January 30, 2026 3 min read

ArcBest Corporation (Nasdaq: ARCB) on Friday reported fourth-quarter 2025 results that underscored the impact of a sustained freight recession on the logistics sector. While the company exceeded top-line expectations with revenue of $972.7 million, its adjusted earnings per share of $0.36 fell short of the $0.42 consensus estimate, reflecting a 72.9% year-over-year decline in adjusted profitability.

Management attributed the earnings miss to a shift in freight mix toward heavier, lower-yielding shipments and increased operational costs. However, the report highlighted a significant recovery in the company’s Asset-Light segment and the realization of nearly $24 million in annual savings from technology-driven efficiency programs.

Segment Performance Analysis

The company’s Asset-Based segment, primarily comprised of ABF Freight, reported revenue of $648.8 million, down 1.1% compared to the prior-year period. Despite a 2.4% increase in daily shipments and a 2.6% rise in tonnage—driven by the successful onboarding of new core LTL customers—operating income for the segment fell 53.3% to $24.4 million. The segment’s operating ratio (OR) deteriorated to 96.2%, up from 92.0% in Q4 2024.

In contrast, the Asset-Light segment demonstrated a turnaround in operational efficiency. While revenue declined 5.1% on a daily basis to $353.5 million due to lower market rates, the segment achieved non-GAAP breakeven results, improving by $6 million year-over-year. This was supported by a 15% reduction in SG&A cost per shipment and a 19% increase in shipments per person per day.

Key Financial and Operational Metrics

The following table details the year-over-year changes for the quarter and the full fiscal year:

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Period Revenue Net Income (GAAP) Adj. EPS (Non-GAAP) Op. Ratio (Asset-Based)
Q4 2025 $972.7M ($8.1M) $0.36 96.2%
Q4 2024 $1,001.9M $29.0M $1.33 92.0%
Full Year 2025 $4.0B $60.1M $3.70 93.7%
Full Year 2024 $4.2B $173.4M* $6.28 91.2%

*2024 Net Income included a $67.9M after-tax benefit from a fair value adjustment related to the MoLo acquisition.

Executive Commentary and Strategic Initiatives

During the earnings call, Seth Runser, President and CEO of ArcBest, emphasized the company’s long-term trajectory over current cyclical headwinds.

“2025 was a year of strong execution and meaningful progress,” Runser stated. “Amid a challenging freight environment, our team delivered growth in LTL shipments and tonnage, restored profitability in Asset-Light, and achieved record productivity as customers increasingly embraced our integrated, technology-driven solutions.”

Matt Beasley, Chief Financial Officer, highlighted the impact of cost-out measures, noting that “phases two and three of City Route Optimization delivered $2 million in savings last year, bringing the total savings from the project to $15 million in 2025.” He also pointed to the company’s disciplined capital allocation, having returned $86 million to shareholders during the year.

Technology and Innovation as Growth Drivers

ArcBest has heavily leaned into artificial intelligence to mitigate the impact of the freight downturn.

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The company reported several data-driven milestones:

  • AI-Powered Procurement: Improvements in truckload buy rates contributed a $2.5 million benefit to operating income in 2025.
  • Automation: An AI phone agent was utilized by over 23,000 carriers to cover 7,000 shipments, effectively cutting carrier call abandonment rates in half.
  • Digital Augmentation: More than 50% of truckload shipments are now digitally augmented, with the carrier portal adoption rate rising to 32%.

Sector Context and 2026 Outlook

The results reflect broader industrial trends, specifically a “softness in manufacturing and housing markets” noted by Chief Commercial Officer, Eddie Sorg. While January tonnage was up 8%, a simultaneous 8% drop in revenue per hundredweight highlighted the ongoing pressure on yields as the industry waits for a manufacturing rebound. Looking ahead, the company provided a cautious but stable outlook for the first quarter of 2026. Management expects the Asset-Based non-GAAP operating ratio to increase by 100 to 200 basis points sequentially, a figure that is better than typical historical seasonality. Capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be between $150 million and $170 million, down from $198 million in 2025, as the company prioritizes efficiency over physical network expansion.

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