BankUnited Inc (NYSE: BKU) Q2 2025 Earnings Call dated Jul. 23, 2025
Corporate Participants:
Jacqueline Bravo — Corporate Secretary
Rajinder P. Singh — President, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Thomas M. Cornish — Chief Operating Officer
Leslie N. Lunak — Chief Financial Officer
Analysts:
Jared Shaw — Analyst
Wood Lay — Analyst
Ben Gerlinger — Analyst
Timur Braziler — Analyst
David Bishop — Analyst
Jon Arfstrom — Analyst
Presentation:
Operator
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the BankUnited Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker’s presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Jackie Bravo, Corporate Secretary. You may begin.
Jacqueline Bravo — Corporate Secretary
Thank you, Latanya. Good morning, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today for BankUnited Inc’s Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call. On the call this morning are Raj Singh, Chairman, President and CEO; Leslie Lunak, Chief Financial Officer; and Tom Cornish, Chief Operating Officer.
Before we start, I’d like to remind everyone that this call may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that reflect the Company’s current views with respect to, among other things, future events and financial performance. Any forward-looking statements made during this call are based on the historical performance of the Company and its subsidiaries or on the Company’s current plans, estimates and expectations.
The inclusion of this forward-looking information should not be regarded as a representation by the Company as the future plans, estimates or expectations contemplated by the Company will be achieved. Such forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties and assumptions including those relating to the Company’s operations, financial results, financial condition, business prospects, growth strategy and liquidity, including as impacted by external circumstances outside the Company’s direct control, such as adverse events impacting the financial services industry. The Company does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.
A number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive. Information on these factors can be found in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31st, 2024 and any subsequent Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q or current report on Form 8-K which are available at the SEC’s website.
With that, I’d like to turn the call over to Mr. Raj Singh.
Rajinder P. Singh — President, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Jackie. Good morning, everyone, and welcome. I know, it’s a busy earnings day. Thank you for joining us. This is a pretty outstanding quarter for us. Very happy with the results. Net income came in at about $69 million or 0.91 cents a share. I think, last I checked consensus was around $0.79. So, very happy to for a nice beat there. ROA improved to 78 basis points from 68 basis points last quarter, and 61 basis points, second quarter of last year. ROE improved to 9.4%. So, we’re getting closer and closer to the 10% mark. Last quarter, it was 8.2%, and last year, it was 8% at this time.
The highlight of the quarter obviously has been the deposit. On the deposit front, we had a very impressive deposit growth quarter. NIDDA is up more than a billion dollars. Average NIDDA is up $581 million, and total non-brokered deposits grew $1.2 billion. So — and we did all this and achieved declining deposit costs, which I’ll talk about in a second. We guided, at the beginning of the year, to a double digit NIDDA growth. So far, we’re already at 20%. So, now I do — I will acknowledge the seasonality in these numbers. But even if you look at our NIDDA growth from last year, this time to now, we’re up 13% which is sort of a pretty sustainable, very nice growth rate.
NIDDA is now 32% of total deposits. So, that was another milestone that we had been talking about, getting past the 30% and we’re there. We crossed the 30%. We’re at 32%. It’s still not the highest level that we’ve ever been at which was during the — its peak was back, I think in ’22, we had hit 34%. So, we will set our target now to that high watermark, and we’ll hopefully cross that in the near term, probably next year. Funding composition and remix, are working. Deposits costs are lower. Spot cost of deposits declined by 15 basis points to 2.37% from 90 days ago when it was 2.52% and a year ago of course it was much higher, 72 basis points higher.
So, wholesale funding was paid down again. $749 million paid down in wholesale. Loan to deposit ratio now stands at 83.6%, down from 85.5% last quarter. So, all of this improvement in the funding mix and also improvement on the left side of the balance sheet contributed to a very nice expansion of margin. Margin expanded from 2.81% last quarter to 2.93%. So, 12 basis points improvement in margin. And net interest income increased by 5.6% just quarter-over-quarter. So, we’re very happy which is all of this is driving the bottom line, so.
With respect to loans, commercial loans grew by $68 million. And if you break that up in between C&I and CRE, CRE grew by $267 million and C&I declined by $199 million. Tom will talk more about that. The production has been actually fairly good. The payoffs unfortunately have also been fairly good, which is why we had a slight decline. Resi portfolio is running off as predicted. So, no surprises there.
Let’s get to credit. Total criticized and classified loans declined by $156 million. I think, this is one of the largest reductions we’ve seen in quite some time. So, we’re very happy about that. Not unexpectedly though, we did see some migration into NPLs. NPLs grew by $117 million. I think, a majority of this, I believe, $86 million of that $117 million is office related. So, not all office loans will eventually get upgraded and pay off, although some did pay off and some did get upgraded, but some did move into NPLS as well. And there was no surprises here. This was expected.
With respect to capital, CET1 now is at 12.2% and on a proforma basis, including AOCI, it is at 11.3%. DCE to TA ended at 8.1% and again, tangible book value per share grew to $38.23. I think, that’s a 9% increase over the last 12 months. So, we’re happy about that. The board met yesterday to go over the earnings and talk about capital as they always do. And they authorized a $100 million stock buyback program, which will go into effect after earnings. We will be — you’ve talked, you often asked us about buybacks and capital accretion and how we think about this. Our priorities haven’t changed. It is still the number one priority is to run a safe and sound bank. Second is to grow our balance sheet in a safe and sound manner. And then, of course, increase regularly dividends every once a year, and then, if there’s capital left over to actually return it through buybacks. So, we’re executing on that strategy.
The environment today feels very different from 90 days ago when we last spoke to you. If you remember 90 days ago in April, we were just still shell shocked from all the tariff situations that we were dealing with. It feels like a different world today, but I will say that it is a fairly — while there is less uncertainty today, relatively speaking, I think, there is still uncertainty still out there that we have to be careful of, and keep that in mind as we run the bank. So, our priorities haven’t changed, manage the bank in a prudent way, grow responsibility, focus on profitability, manage our credit and our pipelines, and continue to deliver on the recomposition of the balance sheet. If we do that, earnings will take care of themselves and we’ll be a stronger company over time.
Lastly, I would say, you may have seen this in the news. I think, we put this out already on the recent expansion. We have expanded into New Jersey with a team in an office and also very recently into Charlotte, where we have a team, and we will soon have an office as well.
Let me turn it over to Tom, and then Tom will pass it over to Leslie. And then, I’ll come back for a few remarks. Then we’ll open for Q&A. Tom?
Thomas M. Cornish — Chief Operating Officer
Great. Thanks, Raj. So, I’ll cover deposits a little bit first. Raj went into a fair amount of detail on that. Obviously, we’re clearly happy with the deposit numbers for the quarter, with over a billion dollars in NIDDA growth, and $1.2 billion or so in total deposits. As Raj mentioned, there is some seasonality in that business. But I would also say, as we look forward into the third quarter, deposit pipelines remain very strong, and our deposit growth is predominantly driven by new relationships across all business lines. So, we’re feeling very comfortable and confident that we’ll continue to add new core relationships across all of our businesses for the remainder of the year.
Raj also mentioned the core CRE and C&I loan portfolio segments grew by a net $68 million. We had very strong growth in CRE for the quarter at $267 million, just over 4% linked quarter. As Raj mentioned, C&I production has actually met our plan for the year, but we continue to see some higher level of payoff activity. I would say about half of that is really our own decision as it relates to opting out of credit opportunities, where we do not see the kind of margin that will help us achieve our goals, type of spread. And another half is unscheduled payoffs, refinancings, businesses selling and things like that.
I would believe that we will see less of that in the remainder of the year, and we expect production to be continue to be strong throughout the second half of the year in both the CRE and the C&I area. Resi was down $160 million, while franchise equipment and Municipal Finance were down a combined $10 million and mortgage warehouse grew by $46 million, all of this largely in line with our expectations. So, for the aggregate, that kind of solves for about a flat loan quarter overall.
A little bit more on CRE. Our CRE exposure totaled 27% of total loans and 185% of the bank’s total risk based capital, at June 30th, 2025. Comparatively, based on March 31st, 2025 call report data, the median level of CRE, the total loans for banks in the $10 billion to $100 billion range was 35% and the median ratio of CRE to total risk based capital was 217%. So, while our CREE portfolio has grown nicely across all asset classes, I think, overall we still remain at the lower end of CRE exposure to capital compared to our peer groups. At June 30th, the weighted average LTV of the CRE portfolio was 54% and the weighted average debt service coverage ratio was 1.76. So, very strong numbers for the entire portfolio. 51% of the portfolio is in Florida, 24% in the New York, tri-state area.
So everybody’s favorite topic, CRE Office. Give you a little bit about CRE Office. Not too much change really from the last couple of quarters and continue trending downward of exposure gradually. At June 30th, we had a total CRE office portfolio of $1.6 billion. About $300 million of that is in medical office. So, about $1.3 billion in traditional office, down $70 million from the quarter end, with 59% in Florida which is predominantly suburban, and 22% in the New York tri-state area. I would say that, this quarter, we’ve seen more return to the capital markets in the office area. We saw activity with office exposure that we had go to the CMBS market and we continue to expect that will happen with some upcoming majorities in the remainder of the year.
Criticizing Classified CRE office loans totaled $383 million at June 30th, down from $414 million at March 31st, 2025, and net decline of $31 million. Some upgrades and downgrades and payoffs in that kind of led to the $72 million change. So, I said $337 million or 20% of the total CRE portfolio is Medical Office. The construction portfolio includes an additional $88 million in office related exposure, with $84 million of that in New York. The weighted average LTV of the stabilized Office portfolio was 63%, and the weighted average debt service coverage ratio was 1.52 at June 30th, not too much different from the previous quarter. Pages 11 through 14 of the Investor deck provide additional details on the CRE portfolio including the Office segment.
So, with that, I’ll turn it over to Leslie.
Leslie N. Lunak — Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Tom. So, to reiterate net income for the quarter was $68.8 million or $0.91 per share. So, a great quarter from an earnings per perspective. Net interest income was up $13 million or 6% quarter-over-quarter. And the NIM increased 12 basis points to 2.93% from 2.81% last quarter. As we’ve been saying all along, margin expansion has been and will continue to ultimately be primarily driven by the change in mix on both sides of the balance sheet. And continued execution on that remains our priority. A big contributor this quarter was the increase in average NIDDA which grew by $581 million.
The total cost of deposits declined by 11 basis points to 2.47% from 2.58%. On a trailing 12-month basis, that’s down 62 basis points. The cost of interest bearing deposits declined 6 basis points to 3.48% from 3.54%. And on a trailing 12-month basis, that’S down 78 basis points. On a spot basis, the APY of deposits continued to move down and was down 15 basis points, sitting at 2.37% at June 30th, down from 2.52% at March 31st. The average yield on loans increased to 5.55% for the second quarter from 5.48% last quarter. I think it’s notable that in a largely stable rate environment, we saw the yield on our loan portfolio grow and the cost of our deposits decline. And that’s just evidence of the fruit of the work we’re doing on the balance sheet. And so, we’re really happy to see that.
The increased yield on loans related to a couple of things. One is pricing discipline, new originations coming on at higher rates or higher spreads than pay downs and exits. As Tom mentioned, we voluntarily exited a number of thinly priced credits. And while those decisions have impacted growth, we’re seeing the contribution to the margin, which is our priority. And we also see in that rise, the continued composition shift from Resi to commercial. The average rate paid on FHLB advances increased this quarter from 3.69% to 3.79%. And that was mainly due to the expiration of some cash flow hedges. All of our guidance assumes two Fed rate cuts in 2025, and kind of smooths those over the remainder of the year. But again, as I said, that’s not really the driver of our prognostications about margin.
Moving to credit and the provision in the reserve. The provision for credit losses this quarter was $15.7 million. The ACL to total loans ratio crept up to 93 basis points. And I refer you to slide 16 of our investor Deck that presents some details about changes in the ACL for the quarter. A couple things going on. We had an increase in specific reserves related directly to some of the NPLs that we add at this quarter and that was partially offset by the positive impact of overall positive risk rating migration. We had some deterioration in the economic forecast going the other way. We had some pay offs and pay downs of some criticized and classified assets and generally we saw improving quarter-over-quarter financial metrics for borrowers in the past portfolio which had a positive impact on the expected loss modeling.
Net charge offs totaled $12.7 million this quarter. The net charge off rate was 27 basis points for the six months annualized and 23 basis points for the trailing 12 months. Both right in line with kind of where we expect those to run. A few further observations on the reserve. The commercial ACL ratio so C&I, CRE Franchise and equipment finance was 1.36% at June 30th, up slightly from 1.34% at March 31st and the reserve on CRE office was 1.92%. The reserve is actually a little more than double our historical net charge off rate over the weighted average life of the loan portfolio. And I would also point out that a significant portion of our NPLs actually carry zero reserves because of the adequacy of collateral. You can see that in our LTVs. Some of those loans have been charged down, partially charged down to take them down to liquidation value.
But there are a number of those loans that are more than adequately collateralized. And the majority of our NPLs were also paying as agreed, about 75% of them in fact, at June 30th, 2025. As Raj mentioned, NPLs were up $117 million quarter-over-quarter. $86 million of that increase was in office exposure and office overall is behaving wholly in line with our expectations. So, no big surprises. Of $142 million in total CRE non accruals, $124 million is office exposure.
Moving to non interest income and expense. Not a whole lot unexpected or unusual or material going on there, but I will say total non-interest income is up $5.5 million. Some of that is sporadic stuff you see with respect to boli, but most of that is actually some of our fee businesses gaining traction, whether that’s syndication fees, commercial card revenue, capital markets, derivative income. So, we’re starting to see all of those businesses gaining some traction and happy to see that. A couple of comments on guidance. Overall, our guidance remains consistent with what we told you previously. We guided to double digit NIDDA growth. We’re already at 20%. Seasonality may bring that down some by the end of the year. But we still expect solid double digit growth year-over-year.
We guided to mid to high single digit non brokered deposit growth. We’re already there at 8.4%. So, I expect that guidance to hold. We previously guided for low single digit growth in total loans, and mid to high single digit growth in core C&I and CRE. Kind of given a slow start with respect to C&I growth. We’re probably expecting that C&I growth — C&I and CRE growth core to be more mid single digits as opposed to high single digits. From the previous guidance for mid single digit increase in non-interest expense for the full year and still expecting to end the year at that 3% level with respect to margin and we’re already well on our way there.
We previously guided to mid single digit growth in net interest income. I think, we may do a little better than that considering where we are now. And one final point, as announced in our 8-K that we filed this morning, we will be redeeming our outstanding senior bond that matures in November. We expect the redemption to happen later in August.
So, with that, I will turn it over to Raj for closing comments.
Rajinder P. Singh — President, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Leslie. We just put out another press release this morning. Very important piece of news on CFO succession planning. We have been working on this for some time. We ran a national search. Leslie had come to me a couple of years ago and said there’s a timeline with which she would like to retire. Totally understandable. We ran a process very methodically over the last several quarters, and we have hired a — we’ve hired Jim Mackey, a veteran in the industry who will be joining us in a couple of weeks, I think mid August, right, Leslie?
Leslie N. Lunak — Chief Financial Officer
Yes.
Rajinder P. Singh — President, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
And, Leslie will remain CFO through next quarter. On November 1st, we will make the official change. Leslie will stay with the company through the end of the year, and will retire on January the 1st.
Leslie N. Lunak — Chief Financial Officer
Bye, bye.
Rajinder P. Singh — President, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
You’ll be on…
Leslie N. Lunak — Chief Financial Officer
I’ll be on the next call.
Rajinder P. Singh — President, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, you’ll be on the next call. And — but Leslie has contributed tremendously to this company. We were a third the size of what it is today or what we are today. And Leslie’s contribution cannot be explained in a short call. But she’s been my partner and I thank her. But like I said, she’s not going away anywhere. We’ll be seeing you guys on the road over the coming weeks and months.
But coming back to the quarter, we’re very happy with where things turned out. At a very high level, I look at this and say, okay, so, we’re stronger and more profitable. Right? Think about we have more capital, more reserves, lower loan to deposit ratio, which is the definition of stronger in my mind, and ready for any kind of mishap in the economy, if it were to ever happen. And we’re delivering all of that while improving our profitability, margin, earnings, ROA, ROE, everything is up. So, a fairly decent quarter and hopefully in 90 days, we’ll come back to you with even better news. But let’s open it up for Q&A.
Operator?
Questions and Answers:
Operator
Certainly. [Operator Instructions] Our first question will be coming from Jared Shaw of Barclays. Your line is open.
Leslie N. Lunak
Good morning, Jared.
Jared Shaw
Good morning. Good morning everyone. Congratulations, Leslie, on the planned retirement.
So, maybe just starting with credit and the office detail, when these loans are moving to non-performer, are you going out and reappraising those at that time and charging down to a appraised value? Maybe just walk us through a little bit of the steps that happen once it moves into non-performers. And if the loan to value and debt service coverage ratio you reference, if that’s updated for valuation in the rate environment?
Leslie N. Lunak
Yes, Jared. We do reappraise actually before they move to non-accrual. Typically, when they move to substandard, we would reappraise and then reappraise again if any significant amount of time had elapsed between when they moved to substandard accruing and to non-accrual. So, yes, we do reappraise those properties. And yes, all of our debt service coverage ratios and LTVs that we disclose are updated. Our debt service coverage ratios are based on current NOI and our LTVs. Even if we don’t have a current appraisal, we model an updated valuation based on very granular MSA level market dynamics. So, we do our best to update all of those and we do charge. Yes, when they move to non-accrual, typically we would charge them down to that liquidation value.
Jared Shaw
So, when we look at the move this quarter and the provision was, could you give us sort of a breakdown of what was charged off versus what was given a specific provision? Or maybe, I guess it could be both.
Leslie N. Lunak
Yeah, you can see that on the slide on page 16. I mean, obviously we’re not going to talk about that on an individual credit level. But you can see this first thing, increase in specific reserves, net of positive risk rating migration. So, $33 million was the increase in specific reserves, and then about $4 million offset due to net positive risk rating migration. So, that’s what’s happening there. You can see total net charge offs of $12.7 million and $5.2 million of that was office charge offs, Jared.
Jared Shaw
Okay, that’s great color. Thanks. Maybe shifting to the deposit side and the strength in DDAs. It’s great to see that. One, I guess, do you have the ECR tied to DDAs? And then two, you talked about the seasonality and potentially seeing that lower at year end. How should we think about those balances moving over the next two quarters?
Leslie N. Lunak
So, with respect to what you’re calling the ECR, and I know, we’ve talked about that term in the past, that number will be disclosed in the 10-Q, Jared, like we always do. And I don’t expect it to differ materially from last quarter’s number. I don’t have it right in front of me, but it’ll be about the same, and it’ll be disclosed in the Q. Seasonality, over the next couple of quarters, that’ll become a headwind. It was a tailwind this quarter. My best guess is it’ll be relatively stable through the third quarter, and then decline in the fourth quarter. But it’s difficult to predict whether is that going to happen in September or October or November. But that’s generally the trend we would expect. And if you look back over the last couple of years, our expectation is it would be roughly the same.
Rajinder P. Singh
Yeah. It really is. There are certain things that you really should look at on a 12-month basis given the seasonality. So, I wouldn’t say, oh look, it’s $1 billion quarter. Great. I look at it, okay, it’s double-digit growth year-over-year. That’s a better way to look at things.
Leslie N. Lunak
And a billion dollars year-over-year, high point to high point, we still had a billion dollars of growth.
Jared Shaw
Okay, thanks. If I could just sneak a last one in with the buyback. Good to see that. Is there a CET1 that you’re sort of solving for? How should we think about the pace of buybacks or your appetite for deploying that, given your stock price and capital here?
Rajinder P. Singh
I don’t think we have a target to put out there, but I will say yes, we do feel we have excess capital right now, compared to industry peers. And we’re doing $100 million typically. We’ve gotten authorizations of $150 million. The board felt $100 million was a good place to start. But I’m sure this is not the end as we keep accreting capital and don’t have much use for it. We’ll probably come back and look at it again.
Leslie N. Lunak
And Jared, part of this equation is, as Raj said earlier, it’s our preference to deploy capital into growth. So, part of the continual evaluation that we’ll be undergoing is to what extent we believe we’ll be able to do that, because that’s always our better option.
Rajinder P. Singh
Profitable growth.
Leslie N. Lunak
Profitable growth. Yes.
Jared Shaw
Great. Thanks a lot.
Operator
And one moment for our next question. Our next question will be coming from Woody Lay of KBW. Your line is open.
Wood Lay
Hey, good morning, guys.
Leslie N. Lunak
Hey, Woody.
Wood Lay
Wanted to follow up on the deposits. And I mean, I know, there’s seasonality in the second quarter, but it feels like the growth is coming a little bit ahead of expectations and was just curious, I know, the title drives some of the seasonality in the second quarter, but I know there’s a couple of other deposit verticals and was just wondering sort of what’s broken right so far in the first half of the year to sort of see a little bit of outperformance relative to expectations.
Leslie N. Lunak
I think, it’s what Tom said earlier. Across our businesses, we are seeing the continued onboarding of new client relationships, and that’s really the driver. I know, that sounds pretty basic, but it is.
Rajinder P. Singh
Yeah. To put a fine point on this. One thing caused — first of all, the numbers that we’re at, when we look at our own internal sort of expectations, we’re not that far ahead. We kind of expected this [Speech Overlap] we will do. We knew that we had to hit our targets for the year before June, which we have. And that was the case last year as well. Because we will face those tailwinds in the second half of the year. So, we’re happy. We’re a little behind on C&I. But on CRE growth, DDA growth, total deposit growth, we’re right in line with expectations.
Leslie N. Lunak
Yeah.
Rajinder P. Singh
There’s no one thing that I could point to. It’s just the seasonality of the business.
Thomas M. Cornish
And I think investment in producers has helped us throughout the year, Investment in new markets has helped us, but it’s a lot of blocking and tackling every day, and we put a tremendous amount of focus on deposit growth.
Leslie N. Lunak
Yeah.
Wood Lay
All right. Really helpful. And then, one follow up on the office migration. It doesn’t sound like this was a surprise on your end, but I was just curious on sort of what the triggering event was for the migration, is it based on maturity schedules? Just looking for any color there?
Leslie N. Lunak
I mean, really what triggers migration is if, our risk rating system is largely driven by cash flow. We’re cash flow lenders. So, while we often have more than adequate collateral to support the debt, even at updated valuations, it’s really occupancy. And, landlords that are struggling to fill buildings, those ones that are migrating to non-accrual, it’s almost always an occupancy issue.
Thomas M. Cornish
Yep, exactly.
Wood Lay
Okay, appreciate that. And then just last for me…
Leslie N. Lunak
Like, maybe they lost a tenant and haven’t been able to replace the tenant yet. That could be a driver, things like that.
Wood Lay
Got it. And then last for me, you announced a couple of new markets you’re expanding corporate offices into. I was just wondering if you could sort of peel back the curtain and sort of walk us through the process on how you evaluate new markets and sort of what it takes to expand into them. Is it sort of team first and then build around them? Just on your thoughts there.
Rajinder P. Singh
Sometimes, it’s opportunistic, other times it’s more methodical. So, New Jersey was a little optimistic — opportunistic. I don’t think it was very high on our priority list. But we started doing some business, we hired some good people, and suddenly it became a priority. Charlotte, I would say, was also partially opportunistic. But it has been on our radar for quite some time. It’s a very good market. It is — we looked at Charlotte for a number of reasons. Not just for business reasons, but also for talent reasons. And we’ve been waiting for the right opportunity for about a couple of years in Charlotte. And when the right team came up, we were able to make this happen.
But we have done a fair amount of work on trying to match markets that are growing, are healthy, and are conducive to the kind of business we do. Not every market is, but the kind of business we do, and we’ve looked up and down the eastern seaboard. And, we don’t look nationally. We don’t go out looking at California, the Pacific North. We just look up and down the eastern seaboard. Charlotte, Atlanta. These were markets that were always high on our list. And then, it’s a matter of waiting for the right team to come around, before you can make your move.
Thomas M. Cornish
I would agree and I would add a little bit to that. We study each market and look pretty heavily at overall growth in the market. Is it a business friendly market? What’s state like? Are they attracting new to market, relocations from other parts of the country? What’s a business formation rate look like? And then, we try to match it against our own sort of risk appetite from a credit policy perspective and say, when we look at the industries that are growing in these markets, are these the ones we have knowledge of? Do we know these industry segments well? Are we comfortable in lending to them? And, those are all the lenses we look through when we look at new markets.
Rajinder P. Singh
And also what competition is like in those markets, right? How competitive are they — are those. That’s another factor.
Wood Lay
All right, very helpful. Thanks for taking my questions. And congrats, Leslie.
Leslie N. Lunak
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. And our next question will be coming from Ben Gerlinger of Citi. Your line is open, Ben.
Ben Gerlinger
Hi. Good morning. Congrats, Leslie.
Leslie N. Lunak
Morning, Ben.
Ben Gerlinger
We’ve talked to credit a little bit here. I was just kind of curious, when you think about just it seems like this was well known and I’m just kind of thinking most of credit seems to be improving, but all else equal, NPAs have ticked up. Is there an area or timeframe where you kind of expect it to roll over? Maybe, I’m just reading what you guys said a little bit incorrectly, but just…
Leslie N. Lunak
No. I think it’s a good question, Ben. And I think, this is the natural progression of these credits that are experiencing some stress. One of two things is going to — well, one of three things is going to happen. They’re going to get taken out and refight out by somebody who’s willing to take them on and pay off, or they’re going to improve and turn around, or they’re going to go through the workout process. And I think, this is just some of them are going to end up there. This is just a natural progression.
We’re seeing most of this activity in the office space. And, I think surely at some point, there will be an inflection, but I still think there’s a little time left before the whole office dynamic broadly finishes playing out. I don’t think that’s going to happen this quarter. I don’t know, if it’s a year, if it’s two years, but I think that dynamic is still going to play out over a period of time. I don’t — none of these loans came out of nowhere and we said, oh my gosh, we never would have thought that one would experience any stress. So, I think we have our hands around the portion of the portfolio that could experience some stress, and it’s just still going to take a while to play out one way or the other.
Thomas M. Cornish
Yeah. Part of it is also when you look at the office book, we’re in largely growing markets. So, there is positive absorption.
Leslie N. Lunak
Absolutely.
Thomas M. Cornish
In most of the markets that you’re in. But until you get a very mature back to work environment, you’re still in fairly lengthy abatement periods of time, for new tenants coming in. So that, it is a bit of an elevator ride on some of these where you’ve got some going up, some going down. When you start to get more positive absorption to the point where it does get more competitive and abatement period shorten, then the cycle will shorten, and you’ll start to see that otherwise you’ve got a variety of ups and downs that you’re balancing.
Leslie N. Lunak
And I think Tom may have mentioned, I don’t know if he did or not, but we are seeing some very positive developments for office properties in the CMBS market. So, I think, that’s an encouraging sign. Not only that some of the loans that we’d like to see go, may go there, but just generally it’s an indicator of positive activity in the office market that the CMBS market is picking up.
Ben Gerlinger
Got you. That’s helpful. And then, I can switch gears a little bit. Next one’s a little more philosophical for, I mean, either you, Leslie or Tom, whoever wants to answer it. Tom, you alluded to not writing some credits because you didn’t want to rent your balance sheet. It would be negative to the spread. And then Leslie, I think you said spot rates and deposits were notably lower. So, it seems like margin should continue to go higher. So, more philosophical nature. What do you think the franchise could run with on a kind of a core margin? Not this year or next year, Just kind of the franchise value going forward. What are you guys targeting is like a normalized.
Leslie N. Lunak
I would say mid threes. I think anything much higher than that is probably moving out on the risk spectrum. We’re not going to become a subprime lender or a credit card company and we don’t do deals. So, we don’t have purchase accounting accretion feeding the margin. So, I would say mid-3s. Yeah.
Ben Gerlinger
Does this mix get through there faster or is it kind of mix is a part of that mid 3s as well?
Leslie N. Lunak
I think, mix is the biggest part of it. It’s not the only part. I think, as Tom said earlier, we’ve strategically exited some thinner margin credits. So, I think pricing discipline is also an element. Both of those things.
Rajinder P. Singh
It’s rare that you see a bank put out numbers where loan yields are going up and deposit rates are going down. We did that this quarter. That’s all pricing discipline. That’s all saying we will not chase growth unless it is profitable growth. That’s why a couple of minutes ago I inserted my word profitable in Leslie’s answer. That’s a song we’ve been singing in the company for quite some time. We’re internally by line of business tracking and holding people, LOB managers responsible for margins, loan margins and saying these need to move up. Even if it’s 2, 3, 4 basis points, they need to move up. And they are moving up and that is contributing to the 12 basis point increase in margin at the top of the house.
Deposits help, of course, but loans are also helping and that discipline on selection is critical to doing that. What matters at the end of the day is NII growth, right? That’s sort of what we solve for because you get that right, you’ll get your profitability right. So, bit by bit, we’re getting there. All this progress we made, as I did, I think a couple of quarters ago, I’d just like to remind everyone, is we have not done anything unnatural as a balance sheet. We haven’t done some big restructuring and taken a big loss and then showed higher margin. This is all bit by bit by bit hard work, one loan, one deposit at a time.
Thomas M. Cornish
One basis point at a time. We don’t, unfortunately, we don’t operate in a vacuum. There is competition and a lot of these loans that we’re talking about opting out of, people are opting into at much lower margins. But as we tell the team, we’ve got to fight for every basis point to get to where we want to get to.
Ben Gerlinger
Got you. That’s really helpful, thank you.
Operator
Thank you. and one moment for our next question. Our next question will be coming from Timur Braziler of Wells Fargo. Your line is open.
Timur Braziler
Hi, good morning. And Leslie, congratulations on defending retirement. Well deserved. Maybe starting on just the improvement in DDA end of period versus average looks like a nice little tailwind heading into 3Q. The unchanged guidance as it pertains to margin, ROCE, should we expect to see margin over 3% and ROCE over 10% in 3Q and then with seasonality, maybe that tapers off a little bit in 4Q. Just talk us through the timing on that.
Leslie N. Lunak
So, Timur, as I’ve said many times, I don’t care and I know you do, so I’ll try to answer your question. Currently, what we’re looking at is margin expansion both in 3Q and 4Q. That’s what our current forecast has embedded in it and that’s our expectation. But, what quarter things happen in is far less important to me than it is to you. But currently our expectation would be continued expansion throughout the year and predicated mostly on continued mix shift on both sides of the balance sheet and pricing discipline, rollover of fixed rate loans. All of those things are going to contribute, but that’s currently what we’re forecasting. I’m not going to try to say how much in 3Q versus how much in 4Q, but we are expecting an increasing trend.
Timur Braziler
Okay, fair enough. And then not to belabor the point on credit, but I don’t think we touched on the increase in C&I NPLs and corresponding increase in that allowance. Can you just maybe talk to what drove that increase?
Leslie N. Lunak
A couple of things. A portion of that I think about $26 million is some indirect office exposure that’s embedded in the C&I portfolio. And the majority of the rest of it is one loan. As we’ve said in the past, C&I credit performance will be lumpy and idiosyncratic and nothing systemic that we’re seeing in the C&I book or no correlation in industries or geographies or anything like that to comment on. So, it’s really just those two things.
Rajinder P. Singh
On the topic of correlation, we’re always looking for that. So, the only correlation we know in our portfolio is office, right? That’s a systemic thing across the industry. But in our C&I portfolio yesterday, I actually looked at the top five loans that are problematic and each of the five are in fact totally different story.
Leslie N. Lunak
Yeah, so very idiosyncratic.
Rajinder P. Singh
We’re not seeing anything. We’re not seeing any impact from tariffs or any other changes. It’s just sometimes things do just go the wrong way and if you ever see a pattern emerging, we will share that with you.
Timur Braziler
Got it. And if I can just sneak one in, last one here. Just it seems like the momentum around M&A, particularly in the Southeast, is accelerating here. Can you just maybe talk to the level of conversations that you’re having? Has that been accelerating? And then just maybe talk to what you would need to see in order to potentially consider a combination with a larger institution.
Rajinder P. Singh
Yeah. I mean, the level of compensation has been consistent since late last year. So, there was obviously a little bit of a concern three months ago, when the markets dipped as much as they did. But in terms of M&A, I still think there will be a lot of M&A over the course of next 12, 24 months. As a buyer, we are probably not going to be very active because that’s sort of a DNA for our company is to try and do things organically. We never say no, but it’s unlikely. And as to the other side of this, we don’t sit here raise our hands all the time saying we want to be part of M&A story, but we have a fiduciary responsibility. If the right deal is on the table, we will talk to anyone.
Timur Braziler
Great, thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question will be coming from David Bishop of Hove Group. Your line is open, David.
David Bishop
Yeah, Good morning, and congratulations again, Leslie.
Leslie N. Lunak
Thanks. Morning, Dave.
David Bishop
Hey, Leslie. Just in terms of the loan yield here, it sounds like the repricing outlook sounds positive from some of the back book of the fixed rate loans repricing. Just curious maybe what that weighted average yield repricing in the near term looks like and what you’re seeing in terms of new origination rates.
Leslie N. Lunak
I don’t have in front of me the weighted average yield on what’s repricing. But, it is true that what’s rolling off is generally being replaced by something at higher rates because that’s still primarily loans that were put on in a much lower rate environment. I would say, it comes back more to what we talked about is being more selective about the credits we are originating and choosing to engage in as opposed to just rate market dynamics per se. Yeah, I don’t have all those rates right in front of me, but…
Thomas M. Cornish
I would broadly tell you on the C&I book, when we look at things that we’re opting out of from a pricing perspective, it’s usually things that are floating rate deals that are under SOFR +150. And when we look at new production, it’s generally at rates in the SOFR plus 200 to 225 type range. So dollar for dollar, we’re seeing 75 basis points to 80 basis points of pickup on that swap, sometimes even a little wider.
David Bishop
Got it. And then Tom, in terms of what’s left in terms of maybe those C&I credits that are relatively thinly priced. Any sense, how much is left from a dollar basis or percentage basis? I don’t know if you have any optics there from that view.
Thomas M. Cornish
Yeah, we’re near the end of that journey now. What you don’t know is what deal was going to be redialed that was at 185 that now somebody thinks should be at 110. So that you don’t know. But when we go. I went through this yesterday, actually. When we go line item by line item, of all of the deals today that are kind of sub 200, there’s only. There’s a small handful that I would say are like that sort of below 150, which is kind of where Leslie has a baseball bat in her office. So sit right across the street.
Leslie N. Lunak
I actually do. Somebody gave it to me as a gift.
Thomas M. Cornish
I call that the baseball bat territory.
Rajinder P. Singh
She will be passing on that baseball bat to Jim.
Leslie N. Lunak
I don’t know that I will because my name’s engraved on it.
Rajinder P. Singh
Well, then we’ll have to get Jim a new baseball bat. [Speech Overlap] at the very back end of that.
David Bishop
Yeah, got it. And then back to credit quality. Just curious, Leslie. I think I heard the preamble that, loss rate overall for the bank, I think it’s running, mid-20s or so year to date over the past 12 months or so. It doesn’t sound like even with the office inflows, you’re expecting too much of a dramatic impact moving forward. Is that correct?
Leslie N. Lunak
Yeah, I would agree. I think that’s in the range of what we would expect. I mean, in a given quarter, you can have higher or lower charge offs, but on a running basis, I think that’s in the range of what we would expect. Yes.
David Bishop
Great. Thank you.
Operator
And our next question will be coming from Jon Arfstrom of RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.
Jon Arfstrom
Hey, thanks. Good morning.
Leslie N. Lunak
Morning, Jon.
Jon Arfstrom
Congrats, Leslie.
Leslie N. Lunak
Thank you.
Jon Arfstrom
Yeah. Couple of cleanup questions. The other income drivers, you talked about Boli, but you also mentioned a few other businesses. Is this a sustainable level? Do you think we should pull back a little bit on that line item because of the Boli?
Leslie N. Lunak
I think over the long run, this is not a sustainable level. It’s going to get better. Quarter-by-quarter, you can have a sporadic thing happen like we did this quarter with the Boli, and those things are sporadic. But I think looking out with a trajectory that’s more than one quarter, I think we should see that line item gradually grow.
Rajinder P. Singh
Yeah. If that doesn’t grow, then we’re doing something wrong. Our expectation is that will grow not just over the year, but over multiple years. There’s a fair amount of effort and investment going into these businesses that I expect them to grow.
Leslie N. Lunak
I mean, is it possible that next quarter there will be a pullback because of the Boli thing? But sure. But again, I don’t care. But if you look at the trajectory going forward over the medium to longer term, I Think you should see an upward sloping line.
Jon Arfstrom
Okay. I was going to try to get you to say I don’t care on a different question, but I got it, so that’s good.
Leslie N. Lunak
You can ask me another little quarter question. Okay.
Jon Arfstrom
Yeah, yeah. Was the bully material. I know this is ticky, tacky, but I was just curious.
Leslie N. Lunak
I would not use the word material.
Jon Arfstrom
Okay. Okay. On the interest bearing, deposit pricing, how much more room do you think you have to bring that down?
Leslie N. Lunak
I mean, I think it’s — without any Fed rate cut, there’s no big catalyst, but we’ll continue to work around the edges. There’s still opportunities where you can bring this customer down 5 basis points or 10 basis points or that customer down 5 basis points or 10 basis points. And we’ll continue to work around. We’ll continue to be focused on it, but there’s no big catalyst for wholesale rate decreases unless the Fed moves.
Thomas M. Cornish
Well, I would say every quarter we sit and look at a number of customer by customers, customer by customer. And it’s not glamorous and fun conversations, but, if you go out and adjust down 4 basis points or 5 basis points here, 8 basis points there, it adds up.
Leslie N. Lunak
Yep.
Jon Arfstrom
Okay. And then maybe one for Tom or Raj. I understand the, I don’t even want to say lower end of the loan growth guidance, but because a lot of things happened earlier in the year. But it seems like based on your answer to Dave Bishop’s last question, it feels like the C&I payoffs or voluntary exits are starting to slow down. And, Raj, it sounds like you’re saying it’s still a little bit uncertain, but getting better. Are you guys signaling that even though it’s maybe a lower starting point mid year, that growth could accelerate in the second half of the year? Is that the right message?
Thomas M. Cornish
Yes, yes, yes. And the reason why we have confidence in that is because we’re looking at the production numbers. And so the production numbers actually looked very good for the first two quarters of the year. We’re expecting it to look very good in the third and fourth quarter. And so getting to the tail end of exits that we want to do ourselves, we can balance that and see where we see the growth opportunities.
Leslie N. Lunak
The pipelines were very good.
Thomas M. Cornish
Right.
Jon Arfstrom
Okay. Okay. Very helpful. Thank you.
Rajinder P. Singh
Thanks, Jon.
Operator
And I would now like to turn the conference back to Raj Singh, CEO, for closing remarks.
Rajinder P. Singh
Thank you all for joining us. We’re again very happy about the quarter, but if there are any other questions, you know how to reach us. And if not, we will talk to you again in three months. Thanks. Bye.
Operator
[Operator Closing Remarks]