Calix Inc (NYSE: CALX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call dated Jan. 29, 2026
Corporate Participants:
Nancy Fazioli — Vice President, Investor Relations
Michael Weening — President & Chief Executive Officer
Cory Sindelar — Chief Financial Officer
Analysts:
Joe Cardoso — Analyst
Ryan Koontz — Analyst
Mike Genovese — Analyst
George Notter — Analyst
Timothy Savageaux — Analyst
Scott Searle — Analyst
Christian Schwab — Analyst
Presentation:
operator
Greetings everyone and welcome to the Calix fourth quarter 2025 earnings call. this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. The question and answer session will follow the brief prepared remarks. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press Star0 on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Nancy Fazioli, Vice President of Investor Relations. Nancy, please go ahead.
Nancy Fazioli — Vice President, Investor Relations
Thank you Darrell and good morning everyone. Thank you for joining our fourth quarter 2025 earnings call today. On the call we have President and CEO Michael Weaning and Chief Financial Officer Corey Sindelar. As a reminder, yesterday after the market closed, Cal issued a news release which was furnished on a Form 8K along with our stockholder letter and was also posted in the Investor Relations section of the Caliphs website. Today’s conference call will be available for webcast replay in the Investor Relations section of our website. Before I turn the call over to Michael for his opening remarks, I want to remind everyone that on this call we will refer to forward looking statements, including all statements the Company will make about its future financial and operating performance, growth strategy and market outlook, and that actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by these forward looking statements.
Factors that could cause actual results and trends to differ materially are set forth in the fourth quarter 2025 letter to stockholders and in the annual and quarterly reports filed with the sec. Calix assumes no obligation to update any forward looking statements which speak only as of their respective dates. Also in this conference call we will discuss both GAAP and non GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non GAAP measures is included in the fourth quarter 2025 letter to stockholders. Unless otherwise stated, all financial information referenced in this call will be non gaap. With that Michael, please go ahead.
Michael Weening — President & Chief Executive Officer
Thank you Nancy and good morning. We closed 2025 with the best performance in the Company’s history, expanding our strong foundation that we have invested in 15 years building with team members, customers and partners Record Revenue Our sixth quarter of consecutive revenue growth while guiding higher in first quarter record gross margin our eighth quarter of consecutive margin improvement Expanding RPOS driven by excitement around our third generation platform and continued operational discipline, yielding our 11th consecutive quarter of eight figure free cash flow and ending the year with record cash. These results underscore the strength of our platform model as we contribute to the success of our broadband experience provider customers.
We also launched the third generation of our Calix platform in December with more than 300 customers already migrated as of today and we are working to complete all customer migrations by the end of first quarter. This marks a significant milestone for Calix and our customers and as Calix agent workforce integrates into everything that we do. While our partnership with Google Cloud allows our platform to be deployed to any customer in the world, whether Calix hosted or as a private instance for a large customer. Last we continue to improve the culture that supports the success of our customers every single day as evidenced by our 44 culture and 20 innovation awards, adding 16 awards in fourth quarter alone.
Our team is particularly proud of these awards as success starts with people, the Q4 results, our strong culture and the successful launch of the third generation of our platform that adds capacity and capability for existing customers through Agent Workforce Cloud. The opportunity in the MDO market with Smart Life and the ability to address new global markets and large customers with private clouds to has our team entering 2026 very confident in our ability to continue our track record of enabling customers to simplify operations and go to market innovate across residential, business, MDU and municipal segments which enables them to grow for their members, investors and the communities they serve at a faster and faster pace.
As we exit 2025, it also marks the end of the early adopter phase of the market disruption and with demand visibility at an all time high, our entrance into a sustained growth phase for 2026 and beyond. Corey, over to you to walk through the specifics of our Q4 performance.
Cory Sindelar — Chief Financial Officer
Thank you Michael. In the fourth quarter of 2025, Calix delivered record revenue of $272 million, marking a sequential increase of 3% and a robust 32% year over year growth. This capped off a milestone year in which we surpassed 1 billion in annual revenue reflecting 20% growth over 2024. Our results were driven by continued strong demand for our platform among broadband experience provider customers who are leveraging our appliance based platform, cloud and managed services to attract new subscribers, minimize, churn, raise NPS scores and ARPU and expand their footprints. The addition of 25 new customers this quarter further demonstrates the broad based adoption of our solutions.
Remaining performance obligation reached a record $385 million, up 9% sequentially and 18% year over year. Current RPOs were also a record at $152 million, representing an 8% sequential increase and a 26% rise from the same period last year. These robust metrics underscore the visibility we have into the ongoing strength of our business model as we see more BXP customers adopt our platform cloud and managed services add incremental offerings and win new subscribers. The accelerating interest in agent workforce cloud is another clear indicator that the BXP LED disruption is past the elbow and we have left the early adopter phase and are now in a sustained growth phase.
To that end, we have aligned our publicly disclosed financial metrics to reflect the growth and value of our model. We have split out our appliance revenue and gross margin from our reoccurring software and services revenue and gross margin. Simultaneously, we have ceased providing metrics such as platform adoption and customer size that were proxies for our progress during the early adopter phase. The combination of our customers, ongoing subscriber growth with our platform and the strength of our appliances deployment resulted in another record non GAAP gross margin of 58%, representing our eighth consecutive quarter of margin improvement.
The continued expansion is primarily due to the adoption of our platform by new broadband service providers and the success of our BXP customers. While gross margin may fluctuate quarter to quarter depending on customer and product mix as well as memory costs, we remain confident in our ability to drive further gross margin growth as our platform, cloud and managed services scale. Regarding memory costs, we will remain proactive and as we did during COVID we will partner closely with our customers to ensure continuity of supply and address any cost increases resulting from higher memory pricing. Our balance sheet remains strong.
DSO at the end of the fourth quarter was an industry leading 35 days. Inventory turns were three reflecting investments to address robust demand, we generated record free cash flow for the quarter of $40 million. We have now produced positive quarterly free cash flow for over five years, including 11 consecutive quarters with eight figure amounts. We ended the year with record cash and investments of $388 million, an increase of $48 million sequentially and $91 million year over year. This strong cash position reflects our ongoing profitability and disciplined operational execution. Also during the fourth quarter, we deployed $17 million to purchase 300,000 shares of our common stock.
As we have discussed, we have a disciplined capital allocation process and we remain a disciplined buyer of our own stock. That said, as visibility increases, our internal valuation models have moved up and this is illustrated by our fourfold increase in share buybacks from the third quarter to the fourth quarter. Furthermore, our Board of Directors has authorized an increase of $125 million in our stock repurchase plan. Given the robust demand environment and the strong pace at which our customers are adopting our model, we expect to continue delivering sequential revenue growth, including in the first quarter, which has traditionally experienced slower growth due to seasonal trends.
Our revenue guidance for the first quarter of 2026 is between 275 million and 281 million dollars, representing a 2% increase at the midpoint over the prior quarter. This outlook reflects our confidence in the multi year growth opportunity ahead as more service providers recognize the value of transforming into a broadband experience provider provider Regarding progress on Bead, we now have a clearer view of the size and timing of the program. The available size of the Opportunity for calix is between 1 and $1.5 billion. While we have already seen orders from Bead recipients, we expect deliveries of appliances later this year and meaningfully ramping into next year and beyond, providing a tailwind to our growth strategically.
The BEAD awards also give insight to the practical differences between fiber to the premise technology and low earth orbiting satellites. The vast majority of funds, some 85% went to fiber based deployments while only 5% of funds went to low earth orbiting satellites. This speaks to pure physics. This speaks to physics pure and simple. Fiber has the highest bit rate carrying capacity, a multi decade life cycle and the lowest cost operating costs. In short, it is financially practical to get fiber to the premises you will for those sites that are too far away, alternate technologies such as fixed wireless or low earth orbiting satellites are a good solution.
As such, one should quickly realize to the extent that competition exists, it exists between fixed wireless and satellite, not between fiber and anything else. For the first quarter of 2026 we expect non GAAP gross margin to remain strong with some near term impact due to customer mix and from overlapping cloud costs as we transition to our third generation platform. I would also note that while we are making this investment in running dual clouds, the transition to the third generation platform is on track and progressing well. Regarding non GAAP operating expenses, we expect a sequential increase in the first quarter of 2026 primarily related to accelerating the development of AI functionality and capabilities across our platform, cloud and managed services.
Importantly, we expect to return to our target financial model for operating expenses by the end of 2026, positioning us for sustained long term profitability and growth. We are entering 2026 with strong visibility and confidence in our growth trajectory. We are excited to host our Investor Day at the New York stock exchange on February 24th where we will share more about our strategy and long term growth opportunities. We look forward to seeing you there. Michael, back to you.
Michael Weening — President & Chief Executive Officer
Thanks Corey. At a time when the pace of change is accelerating at a rate that has never been seen before, we enter 2026 ready to make that pace of change our advantage and in turn an advantage for our customers. We have successfully launched agent workforce and demand visibility is at an all time high. We have executed with operational rigor to ensure that we have the financial strength to continue to invest and grow by winning new customers and helping our existing customers differentiate and dominate in the markets they serve. Last, our team culture is ready for the opportunity that we have invested and worked so hard towards.
Our better better never best cultural mantra will ensure that our internal teams make the most of AI to improve how we operate while our platform delivers incredible results for our customers. The next step in Calix’s journey is here. I’m excited to lead the team as we speed our ability to transform the broadband industry and enable the success of our customers and partners. I would like to close by thanking our team, customers, partners and shareholders whose passion, grit and trust have brought us to this exciting next stage in the Calix journey. Nancy let’s open the call for questions.
Nancy Fazioli — Vice President, Investor Relations
Darrell,
Questions and Answers:
operator
thank you. We’ll now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press Star one on your telephone keypad. The confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press Star two to remove yourself from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please, while we poll for your questions. Our first questions come from the line of Sameet Chatterjee with JP Morgan. Please proceed with your questions.
Joe Cardoso
Hi, good morning everyone. This is Joe Cardoso on for Somic Chattergy. Thanks for the question. Maybe for the first one, I think last quarter you talked about a revenue growth outlook for 26 tracking to the low end of the 10 to 15% range. X Bead 1. You know, curious if that range is still fair to think about for modeling assumptions here. And then second, just in regards to the better visibility now that you have around the BEAD program, any update on how you’re thinking about a contribution for 2026 and how we should think about that layering into the financials here as we progress through 26 and into 27.
Thank you. And then I have a follow up.
Cory Sindelar
Yeah, I think with with our high visibility and understanding where fees is coming in, I think we’ll be somewhere in that range of 10 to 15%. I don’t think we’ll be at the low end.
Michael Weening
And we’re confident demand visibility is high. And you know, the other part is for an update, that’s one of the things we intend on walking through. Right. Corey, at the investor day at length. Because a lot of our investors are asking questions with regards to how will you achieve those growth rates? So we’re very confident.
Joe Cardoso
Nope, got it. Appreciate the color there. And then maybe just a follow up in a similar vein, you know, I think, you know, you’ve been referencing new market expansion, including international opportunities. You know, any updated thoughts there? Like, as we think about these new markets and Calix going out there and trying to cultivate these opportunities, like, how should we think about that as part of the 2026 growth story? And I think last quarter too you referenced that. That’s not necessarily in the numbers, but, you know, how tangible is that in terms of contribution for 2026? Or should we think about this being longer in the tooth as you try to do the block and tackling in terms of opening up these opportunities for Calix? Just curious, big picture there, how we should think about that coming into the Calix story?
Michael Weening
That’s a great question. So the first part of it, as we were did when we had this call last quarter, we were also coming up to the launch of our platform and therefore we wanted to ensure that it was out. So from a confidence point of view, for us to actually understand how we potentially open up new markets, we had to get over the hump of actually getting the platform out because that’s the grand enabler and that means we have to move our customers over. So the great thing is that in December we started those transitions and as I said on the call, we have over 300 customers already over.
I believe we’re going to load another hundred over the next week and by the end of the quarter is our goal to actually have all of our existing customer base onto the new platform. So that in essence is kind of the first gate and we’re through that and very confident with regards to the trajectory on that transition. So that’s the first part, which is great, which is why as we look out to 2026, you know, we can feel confident with regards to the expansion in international markets and the ability to go after large customers with dedicated private clouds.
You know, what is the revenue in 2026? We actually haven’t really built that. We have not added that into the numbers primarily because as you know, as you go after large customers or open new markets, you have a lot of investment work to do and you have to build it out. That being said, if you’ll look at my LinkedIn, you’ll notice that yesterday I announced that I will be keynoting at Mobile World Congress in Barcelona in March. This is the first time we’ve really showed up at that event, which is the largest communications event in the world over.
I think it’s like 140,000 people attended. They take over Barcelona. I’ve personally been there, you know, 10 times when I was at Microsoft and Bell. But for us to be keynoting should be a very good indicator that everybody goes and talks to them about what is your story. And when they heard what we’re doing with regards to artificial intelligence and how far ahead we are, which is enabled by our platform, they were quite surprised and gave us an opportunity. Again, I would encourage you to look at who’s speaking. We’re in the Architects of AI section, which is Keynote 6.
Go look at the speakers in there and you’ll see that you have the CEO of Qualcomm, amongst others, that these are the leaders in AI. And so. And we’re right in the middle of that. And as we go and accelerate through 26, while we haven’t layered that into the revenue numbers, we will be getting a lot of attention because what we’ve done is groundbreaking and we’re way ahead of the competition. So there is no one doing what we’re doing in this segment. The last part I’ll say on that is the value of artificial intelligence is yet to be seen.
So, you know, when I go back to five years ago, I was in a course at Wharton and I was talking to their AI and data scientist leader and he said, as I look at artificial intelligence over the long term, the real value in that is how we drive business outcomes, not necessarily the AI engines. And so as we’re working through our platform, the value is how we actually work with agent, workforce and provide value to our customers. And that is the ultimate value of what we’re doing with the platform as it unlocks at the end of the quarter for all of our customers and future prospects.
Joe Cardoso
Got it. Thank you, Michael. Thank you. Corey.
Michael Weening
Welcome.
operator
Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Ryan Koontz with Needham and Company. Please proceed with your questions.
Ryan Koontz
Great, thanks. Michael, what if we could expand a little bit on you just spoke to your traction upmarket with tier 1s. Can you maybe unpack where your entry points there are upmarket where you see the most exciting opportunities with the new platform?
Michael Weening
Well, so what I stated was that we’re starting that pursuit. And so the entry points into a Tier one, there’s really four vectors to it. So the value of our platform is that we can, when we talk To a large customer, we can probe broadly with our sales organization around what are the problems that you currently have. And so the vectors are you have to find your beachhead into an account. So the first vector is you talk to their enterprise organization around what they’re doing in business. So small business and mdu, that represents a significant opportunity.
MDU as an example, is a significant issue inside every single large customer and small customer, frankly, which is why we built that groundbreaking product to help them succeed. And that opens up a significant market opportunity both in our existing base and in tier ones. So that represents a beachhead. The second beachhead is what we’re doing around networking that’s much more traditional based upon what we built with Axos and how we won Verizon seven years ago. And that really comes down to the insights that we provide from an automated platform and obviously when you put artificial intelligence on it.
And because we understand end to end from a networking point of view, what our customers do, not only from an access, but also from a subscriber management, all the other component parts, we can automate that at a level that no one else can, which drives significant value. And as evidenced by the reason why we got sole sourced at Verizon all those years ago is because we represent an 80% reduction in operating costs. And the way they really acquired that operating cost benefit is they had to build a lot of their own clouds. We now have that inside our cloud with our AI engines through operations cloud and those capabilities.
So that’s the second way in the third and most important one is actually demonstrating a model for how you provide subscriber experience. So how do you win that consumer and residential market? And the value we offer there is evidenced by all of our existing customers who can achieve NPS’s as high as 94. They can offer incremental services, but more importantly, they can move at a really fast pace with new product launches, as evidenced by BrightSpeed, who was able to get to market in two days. Where I was talking to a tier one the other day, they launched a small business product.
It took them two years and $20 million. We could have launched that small business product with our platform for $50,000 or less, no integration costs, no IT work, and they could have been in market in 30 days. And so that represents a significant opportunity. And, and if you look at the challenge inside large customers, the challenge that they have is how everyone’s talking about network automation and cost cutting. Well, the real path to growth is how do I add subscribers, how do I grow Revenue per subscriber and how do I reduce churn? And that’s something we do all day long.
And when you layer in agent workforce, as we build out our agentic army, we’re going to automate those capabilities to help them drive at a significant fast rate. And then the last one is an opportunity for us to speak to them around AgentIQ at a higher level. If you look at the platform that we built and we’ll go in depth in this in at the investor day. So I’d encourage everybody to come investor day and we walk you through our broad architecture with regards to AI. Our architecture is not constrained to our cloud and what we do.
We can actually take our knowledge and orchestration layer and apply it to an entire business and use an agentic framework that could provide knowledge across the company and help them drive efficiencies way beyond our existing business. And so those are the four beachheads that we have with the customer. Those are the conversations that I am personally having. Yes, with the sales teams and, and the product team as we talk to our customers. And that’s why we will be at Mobile World Congress for the first time. I haven’t been there for five years. We will be there speaking to the large tier ones because frankly, what we’ve done is unmatched.
No one’s doing what we’re doing and so that’s the opportunity ahead. But as I said, come to the investor day and we will go through that in depth.
Ryan Koontz
That’s great. We’ll be there and hope to see you over in Spain too. And Cory, just in terms of gross margins and memory costs, you kind of mentioned partnering with customers and passing through some of these transitionary costs. Can you maybe unpack that a little bit for us? About your thoughts.
Cory Sindelar
So Ryan, in the first quarter we’re really not having any of those costs. Remember, the advantage of our supply chain team is we got ahead of this and so we’re doing really well in that regard. So no immediate near term impact. And it’s one of those things that as we progress through the year, we’ll partner with our customers to deal with what we see coming down the pipe.
Ryan Koontz
All right, great. I’ll get back in the queue. Thanks, guys.
Cory Sindelar
Thanks, Ryan.
operator
Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Michael Genovese with Rosenblatt Securities. Please proceed with your questions.
Mike Genovese
Great, thanks. So I wanted to talk about some of the new disclosure numbers that we have in the, in the shareholder letter. You know, systems and software versus appliance, I guess to begin With, I mean, you know, it seems like as a percentage of revenue, software and systems has gone down over the past year, which is somewhat surprising since we’re not in a bead like build more footprint type of environment. So can you just help clarify the reason for that?
Cory Sindelar
Sure. As we have said all along, our software is tied to subscriber growth and that happens in a consistent and upward trajectory all of the time. Where you’re going to get volatility is going to be on the appliance line where it can grow and shrink in a given period. And so what you saw this year is obviously re acceleration of the appliances from 2024. Meanwhile, throughout that entire period of time, the software and services number continues up into the right and grows every day. It’s the reason why we say our margins are going to continue to expand over time because that’s unrelenting in terms of its growth.
And that’s what you’re seeing specifically. If you look at the tables or the charts related to software and services, you’ll see that there was a bit of a downtick from Q2 to Q3. The one anomaly inside of the software line that can create quarter to quarter fluctuations, the amount of Axos licenses. As you know, those are recognized immediately upon signing and they are not ratable. In Q2 we had a little bit more Axos licenses than any other period, you know, in the first quarter or third quarter. Consequently you see that bump up.
Mike Genovese
Great. And then, you know, related type of question. You know, I guess the other thing that surprised me about those charts is how high your appliance gross margins are and how the software and services gross margins are only a few points higher than the appliances. So the questions that follow from that are how are the appliance margins so high? But you know, secondly, as you sort of, you know, as the clouds mature and you move to one cloud versus you know, hosting on two clouds, where could you just give us a sense of where those software margins should be headed over time? Thank you.
Cory Sindelar
Sure, sure. If I take a look at the software margins, you know, we’re going through the transition currently and so they are temporarily depressed due to the dual cloud cost. But once we lift that yoke off, those margins will continue. Ultimately they probably go past 70% and beyond. We ultimately don’t know what the upper limit is to the software and services margin because it depends on success at tier ones where the amount of that will likely be just software only revenue with no hardware or appliances attached to it. And so the more of that you Mix in.
It’s hard to say where that ultimately asymptotes to, but they should clearly move beyond 70%.
Mike Genovese
Great on the high appliance margins. Just how you accomplish that?
Michael Weening
Well, we accomplished it because of the fact that if you look at the $2 billion that we’ve invested in our platform, a big part of that is that we built two operating systems which are fully abstracted from the silicon and gives us significant flexibility with regards to components. The reason why a customer can turn up a system like Brightspeed, who has older back office systems that are very complex from. They brought those over from Lumen initially. The reason why they can actually do what no one else in the industry can do is because of our platform, because everything is abstracted.
The complexity sits inside the software, not at a hardware layer, which allows us to actually transition at a very fast pace. It also allows us to simplify our SKU count. If you go back to where Calix was when I first started 10 years ago, we had almost 4,000 SKUs. And that means that you have all of this component complexity. If you can actually build out an abstracted operating system from the systems and the appliances, what you gain is massive scale with regards to buying single components and putting them across all of your systems, which means that you get higher, higher margins.
And so that is ultimately our silver bullet is that we have built truly abstracted in the, in the network. We’re the only ones who have done it. And on the, on the other side, with regards to our premises, it’s the same thing. And that’s why we have a low SKU count, maximize inventory and simplify significantly.
Cory Sindelar
And I’ll add a couple things to that. I mean, clearly the appliances show the differentiated value on our model and there’s a couple other added. You know, we’ve got a very tight fit to the market requirements that allows us to obviously reduce SKU count, but also allow us to reduce the power consumption. So that’s an added on the access side and on the premises side, you know, we’ve got some clever designs that allow us to cover a number of use cases, further shrinking SKU count. And when you shrink that SKU count, not only does that create benefits for Calyx in terms of the amount of SKUs that we have to manufacture.
Right. It reduces up the risk to E and O. Excess and obsolete inventory reduces the overhead so our ocogs can be lower. But that lower SKU count also translates to a benefit to the service provider in terms of them managing inventory. The number of SKUs that are on the trucks, the amount of their components in terms of the spares depot. So all of that simplification that we’re driving through our platform translates to a differentiated value on behalf of the service provider as well. So I would add those points to what Michael said.
Mike Genovese
Perfect. Thanks so much.
Michael Weening
Appreciate it.
operator
Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of George Nader with Wolff Research. Please proceed with your questions.
George Notter
Hi there. Thanks a lot, guys, for the disclosures on the software side of the business. I think it’s terrific. Hey, I’m just wondering when I look at software and services together, wondering how much of that is the services piece. You know, if I go Back to like 20, 22, you guys used to break out services. I think back then about 10 or 11 million dollars per quarter was in the services line. It was a services only line. I assume it’s still at that run rate or maybe a bit bigger, given the growth in the business.
I’m just curious on what. How much is software and how much is services? I’ve got another question as well.
Cory Sindelar
Yeah, George, we’re not going to go into further breaking that down, but you can use that as a proxy.
Michael Weening
Services is a small component of our business. We’re a software company and cloud company, and we’re not a services company, nor is your.
George Notter
Okay. And then also on the software piece, I guess I’m wondering how much of that software is recurring versus perpetual. Any sense for what that might look like?
Cory Sindelar
It’ll fluctuate from quarter to quarter, George, like I said with Axos, but the majority, large, large, majority of it is reoccurring.
George Notter
Okay, great. And then I also was just curious on kind of where you are with the agent workforce, cloud. Obviously you’re rolling it out, you’re putting the platform out there, which is terrific. I guess I’m just curious on what that looks like in terms of the timing of the revenue ramp, how you guys are monetizing it. Anything you can say there would be great. Thanks a lot, guys.
Michael Weening
Yeah, we’re. That’s something we’ll cover at the analyst day and, you know, in depth. We’ll actually have demos and those elements. We’ll be able to show those things again. The most important part of it was we had to actually get the platform out, which enables it to happen. That’s in progress right now. And therefore what you’re going to see is a rapid. What happens is that once the platform’s out, think of it as like building a house, right? The plumbing’s done the walls are in and now we can actually do what agents are, which is the cool stuff, you know, put in the windows, paint it, paint the house, all those different elements, which is add a ton of agents.
And so you’re going to see a very active ramp of our capabilities. And that means that the customer value will start to roll in as we go through Q2 onwards. And so let me give you a simple example. I was speaking to a customer who actually signed an AI contract with us just after Christmas. They went all in and one of the things, the reason why he said that was he is a very good customer who believes that we will deliver quickly. And he actually, we showed him when he’s going to be transitioning over and how that rolls out for him.
And he said the greatest problem that he has is that he had never bought Engagement Cloud, which is our marketing cloud, because of the fact that he did not have the capacity and capability to do it. His team members were not sophisticated enough to do some of the micro segmentation that it provides. And he said now I’m super confident because agents and as I shared at Connections where I walked through and so I would encourage anyone on the call who hasn’t actually watched my Connections keynote, you can go look at the marketing element and walk through what is our view of how an agentic workflow works, you know, segmenting down to the individual of one, parsing out what is their social media preferences.
So where do you place the ad? Allowing for very low cost ads, but more importantly understanding all the white space through agents and what the upsell cross sell opportunity is by having that in an agentic framework and agent workflow he can now take somebody who’s not sophisticated enough to actually do that on their own because they’re not a data scientist, et cetera. And in his rural market he can now aggressively go after those customers in a very different way. And so he’s all in. And so I think from the end of the quarter as we roll off, you’re going to see our resources also roll out of the plumbing element of our project and those resources free up to go hard at building agents and expanding it quickly.
And the agent part, frankly, when you talk to our product team, building an agent is easy. It’s a bunch of Python code. The magic is in understanding the workflow. And if you look at our three clouds, operations cloud, Engagement Cloud, which is marketing and service cloud, all those are is hard coded workflows. And so we actually know exactly what agents to build and how to assemble them in an orchestration layer to deliver the value. And you’re going to see that in spades at a pace that no one can match. Starting the end of the quarter as we finish up the migration again, come to investor day, we’ll cover that in depth.
Cory Sindelar
Thank you. You’re going to see it first. You’re going to see it first in the RPO number.
Michael Weening
Sure.
George Notter
Great. Thank you.
operator
Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Tim Savageau with Northland Capital Markets. Please proceed with your questions.
Timothy Savageaux
Hey, good morning. Wanted to come back to the bead discussion and appreciate the quantification of the opportunity here, you know, which I assume, I don’t know, stretching over what, three to five years and that could be pretty significant on an annual basis. And you mentioned a bigger ramp into 27. And I guess my question is, as you look at that opportunity, I guess is it apparent at this point, would that be fully incremental to your current run rate business? Would it add to it? How should we think about layering in what could be, I don’t know, a couple hundred million dollars a year relative to your current run rate business? And you know, would you accept another step function into a higher growth rate in 27, you know, something maybe in the 20s relative to your 10 to 15% target.
Cory Sindelar
Thanks, Tim. For the question, I would say if you want to start talking about 2027, please come to the analyst day. That’s where we might provide some color on that as it relates to additive revenue. You got to remember that there’s a limited number of resources that the industry has to go do this work. Crews are not just sitting around waiting for bead, they’re going to go do projects. So some portion of that would come at the cost of other work being done because these crews would do locations at the would be otherwise built and now they’ll go do some.
Thank you. And so there’s some of that. So ultimately for this to be additive, you’re gonna have to increase your capacity and rates at which you’re going to go deploy. But the important part is this opens up more of the premises revenue. Right as they go out and build these networks, you’re going to then start hanging new subscribers off of them. And so that’s the aspect that kind of adds to the acceleration of revenue which we’re more excited about, in addition to the bid revenue alone.
Timothy Savageaux
Thanks very much.
operator
Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Scott Searle with Roth Capital Partners. Please proceed with your questions.
Scott Searle
Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions Nice to see the RPOs continue to hit record highs and continue to post good year over year growth numbers. Maybe to follow up on George’s question and I suspect you might be referring me to the analyst day, but as we start to get full commercialization across the installed base of the third gen platform and agentic workforce and Smart life, I wonder if you could talk a little bit to the time to monetization of when you’re expecting to see that start to ramp. It would appear kind of given the features and functionality of the platform that we might start to see some of that contribution starting to accelerate in 2H26 and I wondered if you could also kind of put that in the context of historically we’ve talked about going from $1 to subscriber to $10 per subscriber kind of how you’re thinking about that.
And do we start to see software and services in late 26 and 27 starting to inflect above RPO growth? Particularly as RPOs I believe are just reflecting minimum contract revenue levels and not as we start to see incremental monthly subscriber revenues on top of that. So a bunch of things rolled into there basically you know, when do you think we start to see the monetization of the third gen platform and kind of the inflection point of when that starts hit more critical mass.
Michael Weening
Scott, I think you’re right. I think second half you start to see that and it will be reflected in RPOs. I also think that as we stated we’re entering this sustained growth period because we have this significant monetizable base that’s already in place and one of the things that has been constraining later adopters is the fact that they don’t have the capacity and capability to actually deploy the technology and win in their markets. If I go back to the example that I just provided in the previous one when I talked about was a customer who did not have the capacity and the form of I don’t have a data scientist, I don’t have some of those capabilities or the capability in the form of if I think about marketing you can do broad most service providers regardless of size, small ones, two large ones do very what I would call unsophisticated marketing.
It is brand based or it is price and speed and I don’t really customize my offerings to the needs of the individual. What we’re introducing with agent workforce is the ability to go through and do significant, significant micro segmentation of a customer base and get down to a segmentation of one. So looking at a household and understanding all the behaviors and the needs of that household and then at a very low cost hitting a button and providing a custom campaign into the social media that is relevant for them. So as opposed to spending $10 and blasting it out onto everyone, I can spend 5 cents and buy an ad on Instagram from 8 till 9pm which is a social media channel of preference with an ad that actually hits the sweet spot of their white space.
So these represent significant opportunities. In the past were barriers because you needed to be a large company with a data scientist team and all the other things. And frankly, even if you were a large company, the truth in this industry is that all of these companies have tons of data scientists and they generally serve the C suite. They do not have the capability to do that either because you can’t actually do a mass segmentation down to a small level to serve the sales and marketing team. We’re trying to close deals with customers, win new subscribers and drive upsell and cross sell.
Best example I can give is that when I was an executive running a $900 million business at a large tier one telco, we had 27 data warehouses and I had to go in like something 1000 scientists and inside of my $200 million PL, I had to go build out a $10 million data warehouse for my team because I couldn’t get the data that I wanted. And so this our ability to unlock the data in their business and automate it so that they can do the most important thing in their business which is not cut costs, it is win new subscribers and grow revenue per sub while reducing churn is our magic.
And so this is a huge enabler for us as we go. Just like you said in the Latter Part of 26 and through 27, more importantly or as importantly, at the same time opening up new markets. And so when I’m at Mobile Congress and other and in these events, those are the conversations we’re going to have because everyone’s talking about how to cut costs. The magic is how to make money. And this is what we’re really good at. We’re going to help them make lots of money. And in the past we had to convince them to do the actions based upon best practices.
Now we can say here’s what the Data says across 1100 customers, 1200 customers, here’s what the agent, here’s the trained agents to make it happen. Press the button. Press the button, it works. And so this is a seismic shift in what’s possible in our industry. And we are at the forefront of it, which is why, you know, we’ve been quiet about it since November of 23 as we’ve been building it all out and now we’re guns to go.
Scott Searle
Thanks Mike, that’s very helpful. And if I could just from a follow up, you know, give them the third generation platform and now that you can start to address larger customers with private clouds, you also have an evolutionary path with the hybrid architecture, no stranded assets for those customers. I’m wondering two things. How is that conversation and dialogue going now with the tier 2s and the tier 1s in terms of what you’re able to offer now with the new platform and what’s the timing of when we should expect to see some incremental customer contribution and or monetization of those tier ones, tier 2s and potentially international customers.
Thanks.
Michael Weening
With the tier 2 customers that’s been happening because a tier 2 for the most part is a super regional. Like if you think about a tier two is that they’re generally across, you know, five to 20 states. You know, they’re not global in nature and really a lot of their needs, they still have the. They also have some of the constraints that you see in the smaller customers in that their ability to invest. Do I invest my dollars in building more fiber or am I going to be building out all these data science teams and all the other things? So I think those conversations are happening very actively for larger customers.
As we said, we talked about the tier ones that we’ve already actively engaged with and that’s going to take a step up as we basically unveil what we’re doing at Mobile Congress to the world and to the tier ones in partnership with Google. So, you know, the other part in this is that we’ve transitioned ourselves away from AWS and everything that we’re doing is on Google Cloud. And Google’s an incredible partner. Not only are they interested in our go to market strategy because of the fact that we offer workloads on their Google cloud that they can talk to their customers about our insights and capabilities.
Specifically our business insight on how to run a business represents a market shift in an ability for them to differentiate against their competition when it comes to clouds. And so we will be at Mobile Congress in the Google booth demoing and partnering with them, talking to large customers.
Scott Searle
Gotcha.
Michael Weening
So the revenue stream on that is, sorry, timeline is that, you know, large enterprise accounts have been doing this all my life and those are 18 to 24 month sales cycles. So you’re talking, you know, we’re going to be going into a lot of POCs through 26. We’re going to be demonstrating it and educating them because that’s the other part, the large customer mindset is I’ll build it myself and generally very siloed. So they’ll take an individual use case and they’ll build a silo and then another area of the business will take a use case that the problem that they have and build their own silo.
Whereas we represent a significant shift in mindset in that we step into a large tier one with here is our agentic library that’s fully trained, pointed at your data and it goes, oh, by the way, here’s our agent toolkit on how you build out your own agents and build those into the orchestration layer. So it’s going to require a lot of education. So it’s latter part of 26 and definitely growth trajectories for 2027 on top of the earlier questions with regards to the tailwinds on beads. So. But it’s also why in our letter we were, we used the words entering a sustained growth phase.
There are a lot of good things coming together at this point in time.
Scott Searle
Great. Thanks so much.
Michael Weening
Come to the and by the way, come to New York. We will walk through a lot of this in New York at the Stock Exchange at the analyst day.
operator
Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Christian Schwab with Craig Hallam. Please proceed with your questions.
Christian Schwab
Hey, thanks for squeezing me in here. And most of my questions have been answered, but just a quick follow up on the feed. Given your historical strength and the smaller of the regional telco companies, would you, would you assume that you would get 50% market share over a time frame? In the tan that you guys outlined for B, does 50% a good starting point or now that you’ve probably gotten more color. Exactly. Who has money that it could potentially be bigger than that?
Cory Sindelar
Hey, Christian, thank you for the question. You know, as you know, we do very well in that segment and I suspect we’ll continue to do very well as it relates to V.
Michael Weening
All right. By the way, let me expand out on the bead thing. Right. So bead is the infrastructure that goes in to pass a home. A home pass is not a home one. So we have incredible technology to provide the lowest operating expense to run a network and to automate it. And the third generation of our platform takes what we can do for network automation to the next level. Everybody else is you know, no one has an abstracted operating system, no one has built subscriber management into the platform. All the different capabilities that are critical to run a headless network.
And we can run a headless lights out network top to bottom and significantly eliminate power issues because you’re taking three or four boxes, collapsing them down to one box, and at the same time, you know, give the highest level of reliability because the data path is inside the operating system, not service chain across multiple boxes. All those things come together to run great networks is what Calix does. But then the other part, and this is the most important part, is that as BEAD rolls out, they still have to go and win the subscriber. That just puts in place that I can get the network in place, but I have to go win the subscriber.
And so regardless of whether what our market share is for Bead, whether or not we win the network or not, what our value proposition, which is going to get significantly stronger, especially in these early stages for our regional customers, is the capability to win new subscribers. And with this capability of allowing our customer success organization to transition from saying to Corey, if he’s a service provider, Cory, here are the things that you need to do to win more subscribers, grow revenue per subscriber and reduce churn and, and then beg Corey to listen. Because we’re not the ones who actually come up with this advice.
It’s best practices based upon looking at 1,200 customers. And that’s the advice we give Corey based upon seeing everybody’s successes and failures and then begging Corey to do something and Corey saying, I’m stubborn and I don’t want to do it. We can now transition to our success organization saying to Corey, here is the best practices. Here are the yields it can provide. By the way, press the button. This is what the agentic workflow will actually do for you so that you don’t have to do the work for yourself. And so this marks, they say this in the end is the promise of agents.
This is the promise of what you can do with deep insight with regards to how to run a business and then apply agentic on top of it. No one cares about the LLM. The LLM is a commodity and we can use all the LLMs. We can pick whoever’s best for whatever the use case is. But the value here is the business insight. And then saying to Corey, push the button. And this is the marked transition. I’ve talked about crossing the chasm forever. We have crossed the chasm. We’re on the other side because we now have the capability to, in essence, help them automate their business and take the capacity and capability constraints off the table, which is a market opportunity for us to accelerate growth.
Because in the end, if you want to talk about software and clouds, our goal is to help our customers win subscribers and grow revenue. And when they do that, we get a portion of it. And so unlike everybody else, that’s what our goal is. Help them win by driving money.
Christian Schwab
Fantastic. Thank you for that answer. No other questions. Thanks.
Cory Sindelar
Thank you. Christian
operator
thank you. Thank you. We have reached the end of our question and answer session, and with that I’d like to turn the call back over to Nancy Fazioli for closing remarks.
Nancy Fazioli
Thank you. Darrell Calif. Will participate in several investor events during the first quarter, most importantly hosting our Investor Day at the New York stock exchange on February 24, as Corey and Michael referenced. Please register to join us. Information about these events, including dates and times, and publicly available webcasts, will be posted on the calendar page of the Investor relations section of calcs.com Once again, thank you to everyone on this call and webcast for your interest in CALCS and for joining us. This concludes our conference call. Have a good day.