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Analysis

Cboe Global Markets Shatters Records in Q4 with 28% Revenue Surge Amid Derivatives Boom

$CBOE February 6, 2026 3 min read

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) reported a blockbuster finish to 2025, posting record-breaking fourth-quarter results that blew past Wall Street expectations. Driven by an unprecedented surge in derivatives trading and the continued rise of zero-days-to-expiration (0DTE) options, the exchange operator solidified its position as a dominant force in the global financial infrastructure.

Financial Performance: At a Glance

Cboe delivered double-digit growth across nearly every key metric, marking what CEO Craig Donohue described as an “exceptional culmination” to a year of strategic realignment.

Metric Q4 2025 Results Year-over-Year (YoY) Change
Net Revenue $671.1 Million +28%
Adjusted Diluted EPS $3.06 +46%
Full-Year Net Revenue $2.4 Billion +17%
Adj. Operating EBITDA Margin 69.2% +610 bps

Segment Highlights: The 0DTE Revolution

The core of Cboe’s success this quarter was its Derivatives business, which saw net revenue jump 38% to $386 million.

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Options Growth: Options net revenue hit a record $433.1 million (up 34%). This was fueled by a 35% increase in index options Average Daily Volume (ADV), specifically within the flagship S&P 500 Index (SPX) suite.

The 0DTE Effect: Management highlighted that short-dated contracts (0DTE) are no longer just a trend but a structural shift in how both institutional and retail traders manage risk. In the Mini-SPX suite, 0DTE volume now accounts for over 50% of total activity.

Data Vantage & Equities: The “Data Vantage” segment. Cboe’s recurring data and analytics arm grew 9%, while North American Equities revenue rose 17% to $110.7 million, despite slight shifts in on-exchange market share.

Conference Call: Strategic Shifts and Future Bets

During the earnings call, Cboe leadership focused on the company’s evolution from a traditional exchange to a global technology and data powerhouse. “Our recent strategic realignment is enabling us to allocate more resources toward growth and value creation,” said CEO Craig Donohue. “We are starting 2026 with a very strong foundation and continued strong secular trends in our core businesses.”

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Key Takeaways from the Call:

Event Prediction Markets: Cboe confirmed plans to launch a new event prediction market in Q2 2026, aiming to capitalize on the growing demand for “betting” on economic and political outcomes.

Global Expansion: CFO Jill Griebenow noted the durability of the company’s international segments, with Europe and Asia Pacific revenue climbing 24%, aided by new listing approvals in Australia.

Geopolitical Tailwinds: Management suggested that ongoing global uncertainty and market volatility remain a long-term “tailwind” for Cboe’s hedging products, such as the VIX (Volatility Index).

2026 Outlook: A “Measured” Future

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While the 2025 results were historic, Cboe provided a grounded outlook for the coming year:

Organic Net Revenue Growth: Targeted at “mid single-digits.”

Data Vantage Growth: Targeted at “mid to high single-digits.”

Expense Management: Adjusted operating expenses are projected between $864 million and $879 million.

The conservative 2026 revenue guidance appeared to be the primary driver behind the stock’s pre-market softening, as some analysts had hoped for a more aggressive growth forecast following the 2025 momentum.

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Bottom Line

Cboe is effectively transitioning from a “cyclical exchange” to a “secular growth powerhouse.” The stock dip following the report is likely a “sell the news” event driven by the modest 2026 guidance. For long-term investors, the core story remains intact: Cboe owns the most valuable real estate in the derivatives world (the SPX and VIX complexes) and is successfully converting that volume into high-margin recurring data revenue.

 

 

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