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Graphic Packaging Profit Falls in Q4 Despite Stable Volumes and FX Tailwinds

By Staff Correspondent |
Earnings Update by AlphaStreet

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) reported fourth-quarter 2025 net income of $71 million, representing a decline from $138 million in the same period of the previous year. Consolidated revenue for the quarter was $2,103 million, compared to $2,095 million in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Latest Quarterly and Full-Year Results

On a year-over-year basis, fourth-quarter net income decreased 48.6%, while consolidated revenue increased 0.4%. For the full-year 2025, consolidated revenue was $8,617 million, a 2.2% contraction from $8,807 million in 2024. Full-year net income reached $444 million, down 32.5% from $658 million in the prior year.

Segment and Operational Highlights

Packaging operations recorded a $32 million decline in sales during the fourth quarter, reflecting a 1% reduction in price and a 1% reduction in volume. These declines were offset by a $40 million favorable impact from foreign exchange. Innovation sales growth reached $56 million in the fourth quarter and $213 million for the full year, representing 2.5% of total net sales.

Full-year performance was impacted by the 2024 divestiture of the bleached paperboard manufacturing facility in Augusta, Georgia, which resulted in a $150 million negative sales impact. Packaging operations saw a $97 million net decline in annual sales as prices fell 1% and volumes remained flat.

Business and Operations Update

The manufacturing facility in Waco, Texas, is substantially complete, with commercial production ramping up following an October 2025 start-up. Total project costs are projected at $1.67 billion, with $1.58 billion spent through the end of 2025.

The company has initiated a 90-day comprehensive review of its organization structure, operations, and footprint. A Transformation Office was established under a new Chief Transformation Officer to manage productivity and cost-reduction initiatives. Operational changes in 2025 included the closure of facilities in Middletown and East Angus.

M&A and Strategic Moves

Management is conducting a selective review of the company’s asset portfolio. During 2025, Graphic Packaging returned $281 million to stockholders through dividends and share repurchases. The company repurchased 6.8 million shares of common stock for $150 million, reducing net shares outstanding by 2.3%. Total debt at the end of 2025 was $5,592 million, with net debt at $5,331 million.

Guidance and Outlook

For the 2026 fiscal year, the company issued net sales guidance between $8.4 billion and $8.6 billion. Adjusted EBITDA is projected in the range of $1.05 billion to $1.25 billion. This outlook includes a $130 million negative impact from temporary production curtailments intended to reduce inventory levels. Capital spending for 2026 is expected to be approximately $450 million, while the adjusted free cash flow target is $700 million to $800 million.

Performance Summary

Full-year 2025 net income was $444 million on revenue of $8.6 billion. Packaging volumes were flat for the year, while pricing declined by 1%. The net leverage ratio increased to 3.8x from 3.0x at the end of 2024.

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