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Jefferies (JEF) Shares Plunge 13.5% as Q4 EPS of $0.85 Misses Estimates by 10%

JEF shares sink 13.5% as Q4 EPS of $0.85 misses estimates by 10%, despite revenue climbing to $2.95B and strong cash generation of $1.90B.

$JEF March 9, 2026 2 min read
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NYSE
$JEF · Earnings

JEF shares sink 13.5% as Q4 EPS of $0.85 misses estimates by 10%, despite revenue climbing to $2.95B and strong cash generation of $1.90B.

Newsdesk · March 9, 2026
Earnings Per Share
$0.87
vs $0.94 est. (-10.0%)
Revenue
$2.9B
estimate N/A

Earnings miss triggers selloff. JEF reported Q4 2025 diluted EPS of $0.87, missing the consensus estimate of $0.94 by 10.0%. Shares plunged 13.5% on volume of 7.4 million as the capital markets firm delivered its second earnings disappointment in the past four quarters. Net income totaled $215.0 million for the quarter, down sharply from the $710.5 million reported in prior periods, though the company maintained profitability despite volatile trading conditions.

Revenue climbs but margins compress. Total revenue reached $2.95 billion for the quarter, up 1.4% sequentially from Q3’s $2.91 billion and marking the highest quarterly revenue of fiscal 2025. Operating revenue of $2.77 billion generated gross profit of $1.67 billion, translating to a gross margin of 60.2%. Operating income of $1.20 billion produced an operating margin of 43.2%, while the net margin compressed to 7.8% as interest expense of $880.0 million and total expenses of $1.75 billion weighed on bottom-line profitability. EBITDA of $1.19 billion reflected the firm’s ability to generate cash despite the earnings miss.

Balance sheet remains solid. The firm closed the quarter with $14.0 billion in cash against total debt of $23.8 billion, maintaining a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.2x on stockholders’ equity of $10.6 billion. Operating cash flow of $1.96 billion and free cash flow of $1.90 billion after $56.0 million in capital expenditures demonstrated strong cash generation, while the company returned $93.5 million to shareholders through dividends and minimal buyback activity of just $29,000. Management issued Q1 2026 revenue guidance of $650 million to $850 million, signaling expectations for a sequential decline as the firm navigates a challenging environment for investment banking and trading activity.

JEF price_30d
What to Watch: Q1 2026 results in early June will test whether the revenue guidance range of $650-$850 million proves conservative or signals a deeper slowdown in capital markets activity—and whether management can restore margin discipline after this quarter’s compression.

This article was generated using AlphaStreet’s proprietary financial analysis technology and reviewed by our editorial team.

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