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Analysis

Earnings preview: Tough holiday season could be a drag on Kohl’s Q4 results

There has been apprehension about the fourth-quarter performance of Kohl’s (KSS) after the department store chain issued a weak outlook for holiday sales. The market will be closely monitoring the final outcome when the company unveils the results on March 5 before the market opens. Analysts’ consensus earnings estimate for the December quarter is $2.18 […]

February 28, 2019 2 min read
Analysis

There has been apprehension about the fourth-quarter performance of Kohl’s (KSS) after the department store chain issued a weak outlook for holiday sales. The market will be closely monitoring the final outcome when the company unveils the results on March 5 before the market opens. Analysts’ consensus earnings estimate for the December quarter is $2.18 […]

· February 28, 2019

There has been apprehension about the fourth-quarter performance of Kohl’s (KSS) after the department store chain issued a weak outlook for holiday sales. The market will be closely monitoring the final outcome when the company unveils the results on March 5 before the market opens.

Analysts’ consensus earnings estimate for the December quarter is $2.18 per share, which represents a 17% year-over-year increase. There is optimism that the improved online channel and competitive pricing would drive top-line growth. The company’s upwardly revised earnings estimate for the whole of 2018 is $5.50-$5.55 per share, which is 32% higher compared to the prior year and in line with analysts’ forecast.

Kohl's third quarter 2018 Earnings Infographic
Kohls Corporation Q3 2018 Earnings-Infographic

There is optimism that improved online channel and competitive pricing would drive top-line growth in the fourth quarter

The initial estimates show that holiday comparable sales rose 1.2% in 2018, sharply slower than the 7% growth achieved a year earlier. For the third quarter, Kohl’s reported stronger than expected earnings that climbed to $0.98 per share from $0.70 per share. At $4.63 billion, revenues were up 1.3%.

Of late, the Brookfield, Wisconsin-based retailer has been witnessing positive momentum across its apparel business. The management’s ongoing efforts to enhance the merchandise offerings and ramp up the e-commerce platform are having a positive effect on sales. The company is also making efforts to boost traffic by offering a better omnichannel experience to customers.

Also see: Kohl’s Corp. Q2 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

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On the downside, higher costs might hamper margin growth, continuing the trend seen in the recent quarters. Also, the ongoing investments in technologies such as cloud – to bolster long-term growth – could impact profitability.

Among the other retailers, L Brands (LB) this week reported an increase in fourth-quarter earnings and revenues but guided full-year earnings below estimates. Macy’s (M) adjusted earnings dropped 4% to $2.73 per share in the December quarter but topped expectations. J.C. Penney’ shares gained Thursday after its earnings beat the Street view, despite a sharp year-over-year decline.

Kohl’s shares gained steadily this week, recovering from the losses they suffered since the beginning of the year. The stock traded broadly at the levels seen a year earlier.

 

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