Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE: TAP) Q4 2025 Earnings Call dated Feb. 18, 2026
Corporate Participants:
Rahul Goyal — President and Chief Executive Officer
Tracey Joubert — Chief Financial Officer
Greg Tierney — Investor Relations
Analysts:
Unidentified Participant
Kevin Grundy — Analyst
Eric Serotta — Analyst
Robert Ottenstein — Analyst
Christopher Carey — Analyst
Presentation:
Operator
Good evening, everyone. It’s a pleasure to welcome Molson Coors back to CAGNY this year. Joining us today, we have President and CEO, Rahul Goyal; and CFO, Tracey Joubert. Also, please join me in thanking them for their sponsorship of the beverage reception immediately following their presentation, which will be right outside the stairs. Thank you so much for that. Now it’s an exciting time for Molson Coors as the company has made progress on its transformation journey having changed over the course of a few years how it invests, how it markets and how it operates to return the company back to growth. Having completed its revitalization plan, the company is now into the next leg of its journey, which is to accelerate growth as well as taking complexity out of their system allowing them to deliver sustainable top and bottom-line growth.
So with that, I’m going to turn it over to Rahul to hear more about their efforts. Thanks.
Rahul Goyal — President and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Bonnie. Thanks for the introduction and good afternoon, everybody. Thanks for being here. Before I get started, our lawyers said I have to read every single word on this slide. I think they were doing the new guy joke on me. So the only thing I am going to say is our discussions today include forward-looking statements within the meaning of U.S. federal securities law. So please refer to the forward-looking statements disclosure in our presentation materials for more information.
So I am excited. I am excited to be here to share an update about our business. I am excited about sharing our new plans and our new strategy going forward. After 25 years in the company, I get the honor of defining the next chapter for Molson Coors, a company that has a 240-year-old legacy in this country. So those who have followed us and those who are new to our company, we are a top five global brewer. We are in about 80 countries. We have about 16,000 people with one purpose to unite people to celebrate all of life’s moments. But more importantly, we are in some of the most exciting and largest profit pools of the world and we’ve have made progress.
We’ve made progress around our core brands in most of our markets. We’ve kept share that we gained in the United States in 2023. We’ve have kept about 70% of that share that we gained in ’23 with our core brands. We have been on our journey for premiumization and portfolio transformation and we have increased that about 5 percentage points and we are in the early innings of our Beyond Beer beverage strategy and we are approaching about 10% of our revenue based on Beyond Beer and a lot more runway in front of us. And we’ve done that on the back of brands like Topo Chico Hard and Simply Spiked Peach.
Along with that, we have strengthened our balance sheet. Our debt is lower than what we started with and our leverage ratio is in a much healthier place. And we have been consistent in terms of delivering cash back to our shareholders, whether it is through a consistent increase in our dividend or by executing about 70% of our buyback program in just nine quarters, which was a $2 billion program over five years. So we know we have delivered shareholder value, but we do know that the next chapter for creating shareholder value is going to be on the back of consistent, scalable and repeatable top and bottom line growth and that’s what the new plan is.
Well, before I talk about the new plan, I want to address the 2026 guidance. It’s no secret that our industry is facing significant headwinds. 2025 saw material industry declines and that was cyclical deviations from what the historical trends were and that uncertainty remains for us. So if you go deeper into the bottom line guidance we just shared, there are two factors that are impacting our business right now. One is cost inflation through to the increases in the Midwest premium and aluminum pricing and two is just lapping of a one-time incentive from because we did not achieve anything in 2025.
Now we are navigating this period of uncertainty and volatility with discipline. We took immediate action in Q4 focusing on cost. We are taking the right actions in pricing making sure our brands by region are being competitive. And frankly speaking, we are looking at everything around the Midwest Premium. Along with that, we want to make sure we are investing in our business, investing in smart ways, getting our business back to growth and this means investing in our brands, in our capabilities and in technology. We will navigate this period of volatility being diligent and taking the hard decisions, but we want to make sure we set our business up right for growth in the future.
And so what does all this mean, right? So now this is what I will leave you with. We have a strong foundation. We have brands that have scale. We have a historical track record of creating cash generation. We are doing a reset in 2026 just to navigate this moment of volatility and uncertainty to get our business back. And I am excited to talk about the next chapter of figuring out how to grow our business, both top and bottom line going forward in the medium term.
So it all starts with our new plan, Horizon 2030. Folks, this is not just a new plan on a page. It is a plan and a blueprint of how we get our business back to growth. It is about rewiring our business in a world of constant change. It is about taking bold opportunities and reacting on that quickly and it means spending more time in the market where our consumers are and where our customers operate. That’s what is going to get us back to growth and it starts with our portfolio.
So let us talk about our portfolio. Now each segment has a role to play to make sure that we as a business can reach our full potential, but we are making different choices. We are investing differently and we are executing differently of our brands in the market. And across these portfolio pillars, we feel we have the plans to grow share, revenue and profits for our total business and I want to take you a little deeper on that. But then look at the second part of our plan and this is what we are doing to operate differently and this is what I call rewiring our business differently.
We are going to put commercial execution as close as possible to customers and consumers. We are going to modernize our capabilities to make sure we are driving efficiency and value. And then we are going to champion beer and beer occasions, right? In this industry, where the category is under challenge, we are going to champion beer and we are going to evolve our culture to drive ownership amongst our people. Now all of this has to be supported by being disciplined on our cost savings and having a clear, dynamic approach to capital allocation. So we are going to go deeper into all of these key areas, right?
Let’s just start with our portfolio. This is what we do. This is our bedrock. It spans beer and Beyond Beer to reach consumers where they are and it’s based on the thesis that all segments matter. But within that, we are making clear choices. We have to strengthen our big brands, the core and value segments while we transform our above premium and Beyond Beer strategy. So let’s talk about the core and you probably know this. Loyal core beer drinkers represent the vast majority of all beer volume. But what you probably don’t know is that this group has the strongest loyalty with premium lights and we have the brands to compete there. And we have the opportunity to continue to strengthen our brands with this core consumer and gain more share ahead of the category. So how are we going to do this? It does mean investment in our brands and breakthrough marketing. And you probably saw some of this in the NFL and leading up to the Olympics with the Miller Lite campaign.
It talks about real-life connections. It talks about real-life occasions and with the perfect spokesman a pistol-for-walk-in that spans generations. And you can expect us to come forward with more work like that for Coors Light. We are going to continue the journey on Coors Banquet and leaning into that brand as we grow that with volume and share and with Molson Canadian where we are gaining both volume and share in Canada. In this subcategory, we are also identifying new opportunities like the lower strength beer. We are expanding Miller Extra Lite, which is about a 2.8% ABV brand in key markets and regions. These brands have the scale. They have the trust of millions of our consumers and they have the right to win with our core consumer and get a share of the category.
Now let’s talk about the part of the portfolio that we probably have not spoken about in a long time, which is the value segment. We are elevating that because in a K-shaped economy today, the value consumer is feeling the pressure and they are looking for options within their budget. And frankly speaking, we have the scale. Just for context, if you just think about our value segment, we are the fifth largest beer company in the country. So this galaxy matters. This is not about just being defensive. This is about how do we use that and make sure we are leaning in for the consumers that are looking for this option, but we are going to increase the focus in value in a very selective way.
We are going to have selective investment in selective markets and with very pointed innovation. We are going to expand brands like Miller High Life Light across a few more states. We have some new innovation coming with Keystone, Keystone Apple in the summer, which is again very directed to this subsegment. Our value portfolio has a strong reach. We have deep consumer loyalty and this is the way to win for us, but even for our distributors.
Now as we think about value, premiumization is not going anywhere and we have the opportunity to get some more runway there. If you look at our business, we are pretty strong in premiumization in Canada and in the U.K. But in the U.S., we are underrepresented and therefore, we just have a new opportunity to keep leaning into that. Things like Peroni and you probably saw that in the Olympics, again leaning into the brand with on-premise brand ambassadors, all the work we already have done in Madri in the U.K. and continue to grow in the U.K., but also expand that brand across Europe and Canada. And while Blue Moon Belgian White is still a work in progress, the Blue Moon non-alc brand is growing 25% and is now probably the number two non-alc craft brand in the country.
Now the other side of premiumization is Beyond Beer. I talked about being in the most exciting profit pools and this is where the consumer needs are evolving. And we are going to continue on our total beverage journey to make sure that our brands meet the consumers and meet them in more moments and we are proud of the progress we’ve made. And if you think about the Beyond Beer segment, you have first this flavor and this category has been volatile. And there we need to be agile, right? We had some great success initially, but then we have to figure out a way to pivot and we did with Topo Chico. We pivoted from being a hard seltzer brand now to a full flavor beverage with higher ABV innovation and different packaging for more occasions and we’ve changed the trajectory of this brand.
We have consensual dollars and share trend performance improvement in all quarters of 2025 and with Fever-Tree, we are just getting started. We just finished the transition last year. We are getting it into our network and we have an excited distributor network. We have an excited retail network and we have an excited team to get really behind it. There’s few brands where you can get the whole trifecta working and we believe we have the option to do that with Fever-Tree. And in this space, we have the other opportunity of deploying M&A dollars in a very disciplined way to make sure we are augmenting and filling gaps in our portfolio. And I know Tracey is going to talk a little bit more about that in the future.
So hopefully, it gives you a sense of the clear choices we are making in our portfolio. But let’s talk about how we are going to make this happen. And this is where, folks, we are executing a big change within the organization because how we execute, how we make sure we rewire our business is super important in this business, in this category. And it starts by putting our customer and consumer at the heart of everything we do. Folks talk about beer being a global business. You talk about beer being a national business. But actually, beer is very, very local business and we need to make sure we are putting the P&L accountability at the level close to the customer. That’s where pricing decisions, promotions, assortment, investment, that’s where those decisions are being made and that’s what we need to unlock for our teams.
We’ve got to unlock clear accountability that drives outcomes. We’ve got to make sure we are taking decisions with precision where we can change tactics, move spend across the actions that are working for our total portfolio in particular markets and we need to do it with speed where decisions are done in days, not weeks, not months and definitely not quarters. And this is not just an academic principle. This is how we want to make sure our planning process and our execution model changes. We already started that journey in Q4 and going into ’26 with our distributors.
The next part of our plan is we talk about capabilities. And I talked about us being in the largest profit pools. But we also have the largest platforms in these profit pools where basically we execute across the entire market. And so we will keep investing in our capabilities, investing in capabilities that drive efficiency and value to the bottom line. This is in the area of sales and marketing where we are going to put capabilities in AI and analytics to make sure our sales teams are front forward-looking and not looking in the back. And when I talk about AI, this is not about using it in marketing just to create new brands and assets. We are obviously going to do that and drive efficiency, but how do we literally use it to make investment decisions?
And then the third element of our capabilities is our investment in our ERP and our technology to augment and automate areas in our supply chain to drive value and to optimize business processes. And as we think about our internal business, we have to keep a lens externally and that involves championing beer. We talk about the category declining, etc, and one of the things I talked to our distributor network about is none of us should accept declining categories. That should not be okay. We must find a way to get this category healthy again and we need to do it together as an industry. This is not about us. We have the humility to realize that one company can’t change it, but we need to lean in to make sure we can build beer’s relevance back.
We need to make sure we can bring people back into the occasions where beer fits. And so we’ve got to lean into this and we are going to do our part, right? We are going to do our part in marketing on how we talk about Miller Lite. You saw that, but also a new campaign we had just over the holidays, which was just about just bring the beer. This campaign is designed to put beer back on the shopping list. It’s to put it in the center of social moments driving category relevance, right? Again, this is not a — what’s the word I want to use. This is not an elusive idea. When we think about our sales team, we have about 22% market share in the country and are category captains for 60% of our retailers. So how do we really lead with the category front focus?
And then the fourth pillar is around building a culture of ownership. We have 16,000 people that are passionate about our business, passionate about our brands, but we need to change how we operate in this moment and that’s where I am asking them to lean into two of our key values, being bold and decisive and taking accountability. This is designed to empower our teams to move with urgency, to move with pace, and drive ownership within the business. And this matches the complexity we have from an outside world respect. So hopefully you see that and then you see, okay, how do you know we are going to make progress? Like what are the key metrics? We should be seeing market share improvements in our key markets.
We have to continue the acceleration of our portfolio transformation across all our portfolio. And the investment we are making in our capabilities and cost savings need to show margin improvement. And while we are doing this, we are going to be disciplined about returning cash to shareholders. We are setting 2026 with clarity and transparency, but we are rewiring our business and our operating model for execution. We are investing in brands and our capabilities, but we are being very deliberate on how we do that and we are going to fund our growth with discipline. And there’s two key elements of the plan that I am going to have Tracey come over and talk about, which is making sure we are disciplined about cost savings and having a clear and dynamic approach to capital allocation.
So with that, Tracey.
Tracey Joubert — Chief Financial Officer
Thank you, Rahul. Hello, everyone. Good to be back here. Look, as Rahul highlighted, we have a compelling strategy. We’re really focused on discrete actions that will support our medium-term growth algorithms. So I want to give a little bit more color on our financial discipline and the capital allocation priorities that Rahul mentioned and I’ll highlight how they support our ability to execute against our strategy. So our ability to drive strategy starts with a strong cash generation. We feel that we have compelling cash conversion and we continue to be a very cash generative business.
Now we delivered over $1.1 billion in 2025 and as we announced earlier with our release earlier this afternoon or earlier this evening, we expect to deliver a similar amount in 2026. Now we plan to build on this very strong base through profitable growth and also new cost-savings program. So over the past five years, we have delivered over $1 in free cash flow for every dollar of underlying earnings and we have amongst the highest free cash flow yield in all of CPG. Our solid cash generation has significantly strengthened our balance sheet. Now moving forward, it should enable us to invest in ways that we believe will drive value for our shareholders.
So let me take you through a few of the details around our new cost-savings program, which we believe supports both our medium-term algorithm and also strong cash generation. So to help fuel our strategy, we are announcing a three-year cost-savings program targeting up to $450 million with savings beginning in 2026. The program anticipates savings across both our business units and it will also come through multiple lines in our P&L. Now in cost of goods sold, we have a very strong pipeline of plans and projects. This is enabled by procurement, the investments that we make in capital and productivity and efficiency improvements that get to get delivered to our world-class supply chain program.
Now in Americas G&A, we’ve already unlocked meaningful savings by implementing our new structure at the end of 2025. And as you heard from Rahul, we expect to deliver further savings in M&A enabled by technology and new capabilities that we’ll be investing in. In EMEA, APAC, we have plans that are designed to expand operating margin and also improve profitability in that business unit. And this will be done for implementing new technologies, evaluating supply chain opportunities and also portfolio optimization. Now these savings are intended to be used to mitigate the impact of inflation and also will allow the right levels of investment to fuel our business for growth.
So let’s talk about how we’re thinking about deploying our capital to execute that strategy. Now our first priority is to invest in our business to drive long-term sustainable growth through capital projects and new capabilities, investing behind our brands and using our financial flexibility to fund M&A. From a capital standpoint, we are rebasing our medium-term capex expectations and we now expect to spend approximately $650 million a year.
Now this level should allow us to continue to invest in margin-enhancing cost-savings projects and also make investments in technology to drive efficiencies and increase our capabilities. And we target double-digit returns on our cost-savings programs and we have delivered against that goal over the last few years with programs including our variety packaging that we — the capabilities we built in Fort Worth, adding seltzer capability in Canada and also the domestic reduction of Peroni in the U.S. And to grow our business, our aim is to look to invest in M&A to drive meaningful portfolio transformation.
Now we would target deals that would add around 1% to 2% NSR annually to the enterprise, but that are also bottom-line accretive. To contextualize, these could be in the range of about $200 million to $350 million and are expected to be funded from cash from operations. Now these targets must be scalable. They must for white spaces and they also must be in areas where we believe we have the right to win. Second, we remain committed to maintaining a leverage ratio below 2.5 times. At the time of the 2016 Miller Coors acquisition, our net debt was $15.4 billion and our leverage — sorry, $11.5 billion and our leverage ratio was 4.8 times. And by the end of the year in 2025, our net debt was $5.4 billion and our leverage ratio was 2.3 times.
We’re reducing both by more than half and we’ve continued to hold the highest credit rating that we’ve had since 2016. Now that brings me to our third capital allocation priority. Molson Coors has a long track record of paying cash dividends to its shareholders and it remains our intention to sustainably increase our dividend just as we have done for the last five years. We also feel that we’ve made tremendous progress against our $2 billion share buyback program, which is over five years. We announced that back in October of 2023. And as Rahul said, through just nine months, we’ve executed 72% of that authorization tracking to complete the $2 billion well ahead of the schedule.
Now given what we view as a compelling valuation for our stock, our Board has approved an increase to the amount and extended the duration of our existing share repurchase program. So this increases the initial authorization from up to $2 billion to an aggregate authorization of up to $4 billion and that’s inclusive of the approximately $1.4 billion that we’ve already spent up until the end of 2025. And that plan will now run through December 31, 2031. Now we believe that this should not only help to drive earnings power, but it also demonstrates our confidence in our business, our confidence in our strategy and our confidence in our medium-term growth algorithms.
So with that, we look forward to taking your questions and Rahul will come back up and we’ll ask Greg to maybe just manage the questions for us.
Questions and Answers:
Greg Tierney
I can repeat the question.
Unidentified Participant
[Indecipherable] on gross margin. Certainly aware of Midwest premiums, the inflation, but just how and why is that going to be such a drag on your business in ’26? Kind of talk through that on the gross margin level and then maybe help frame for us with the plan you laid out, the marketing expense that you’re expecting.
Rahul Goyal
Yeah. So I’ll take it and Tracey can add. So if you look at the Midwest Premium and aluminum pricing, right, I mean, I think we shared an estimate last year of what we think the exposure is. And if you look at this year, I think that was in the somewhere in the range of $40 million to $45 million range. We have an incremental headwind of about $125 million this year in 2026. And this is when Midwest Premium goes up 300%, there’s not immediate actions you can take to action that, right? Obviously, we took all the actions we could in terms of cost savings in the Americas. So the Midwest Premium is the biggest part of our COGS inflation. If you look at our 2025 results and look at COGS inflation, we have initiatives and we have the programs to make sure that we’re managing through it.
We’re trying to manage $125 million increases. So you’re going to see that in the way it shows up in gross margin through the Midwest Premium. The one-time incentive comp is just — it’s a lapping issue from and so that’s more on the G&A. And then the marketing and capabilities investment, I would say the simplest way to think about it is we know we can get this business back to our medium-term growth algorithm, right, the mid single digit. And we just want to make sure we’re building our brands and supporting our brands in a pretty competitive context of the category being what the category is. So I think that’s how I’d break it down, Moni, is the Midwest premium being the big part in COGS and then the other two pieces are of this. Anything else on this, Tracey?
Unidentified Participant
Thank you for that.
Rahul Goyal
Thank you. Look for the process.
Kevin Grundy
Thanks. Kevin Grundy with BNP Paribas. Rahul, maybe with the longer-term guidance, I suspect we’ll probably be so surprised about the decision to maintain it just given the challenges in the alcohol industry where we’ve seen domestic beer volumes decline not just the past two years, three years, five years, maybe going back to ’15 and they’ve been down low single digits and in certain cases your portfolio they’ve even more challenged than that and ’25 is even more dire. So I think maybe a little bit more on that like what gives you confidence with what you’re doing in terms of execution that things are going to get better because the data points just seem to be mounting against the industry in terms of younger consumers moving away and it’s going to take the industry collectively. But even more than that, it’s probably moving into new areas. Lastly, with your answer, because I think it’s topical, we’ve seen a number of food companies from PepsiCo to mills to crack, [Indecipherable] invest in price as part of the solution to stimulate volumes in industry where volumes are challenged. Does that come into your thinking at all as part of the solution to stimulate volumes? So thanks for all that.
Rahul Goyal
Yeah. So let me try to address the two or three parts of the question, right? So first is how do we get our business back to top line growth? And if you look at our share losses even in the recent past or over the last few years, we’ve done a decent job on making sure core share is there. We lost a little bit, but not in a big way. Our challenges has been in some other parts of our portfolio, right? That’s why you see us elevating on the value segment, because if you look at the majority of our share losses, a big part of our share losses has been the value and flavor and some of those pieces.
So we need to make sure that our portfolio and when we talk about strengthening the core and the value, it just means making sure we can keep ground on our share, right? So make sure we’re keeping share and gaining share in that space. What the category does, we’ll see how the category does, but right, that’s our share. Then it does become a question of mix. Can we transform the portfolio fast enough to make sure that we can handle the potential declines in the core piece? Your question, so the three pieces that we think about as we think about driving our top line revenue is obviously volume, but it’s price and mix. And I think those are the two levers that gives us confidence that we can get this business back.
Your question on pricing, we definitely look at pricing by brand and by region, but we also want to make sure we’re competitive. And that’s why you see us leading in the value segment, right? We have a portfolio which meets the consumer needs at the right price points, at the right budget levels they have. Usually in beer, people don’t leave their brands, right? In core, they’re usually looking for different price packs. They’re looking for different channels. So if you look at what’s happening in our business, you got singles doing really well and you’ve got big packs doing really well.
So with our core brands, we need to make sure we’re leading in that space. But the value piece is where we need to make sure we can get some support on the volume piece. So I think between price-mix and the transformation on Beyond Beer is that’s where we have confidence we can get our business back to low single-digit growth. I think it’s a low base in that regard. And in terms of your pricing decision, it’s making sure we can use all levers of our portfolio to really get after the volume play.
Eric Serotta
Great. Thank you. Eric Serotta for Morgan Stanley. You mentioned that the mid-term — that the cost savings $450 million would offset inflation and allow for reinvestment. Could we expand upon the reinvestment side a little bit? And can you give us any context for what kind of quantum you’re expecting in terms of reinvestment for 2026 and the midterm and whether it’s marketing, technology, other capabilities, how to think about that? And then in terms of the — one for Tracey, in terms of the mid-term algo, mid single digit pre-tax and then high single-digit on GBS. You’re going to be spending more or investing more on M&A and that’s going to be funded from cash from operations, the cash has to come from somewhere shouldn’t there be less of a contribution from buybacks than you’ve had historically or is your leveraging for? Thanks.
Rahul Goyal
Thank you. I’ll let you hit on the buyback one, Tracey, but let me make sure I that address the two questions you have. First is on the cost savings and then the investment profile, right? So if you look at our cost savings, there are three broad buckets. It’s obviously the work we need to do within the Americas and we took all those hard decisions in quarter four. So making sure we can take the actions in optimizing our teams, how we execute, making sure we have the right resources and pressure on the front end of the organization versus internally.
On supply chain, we’re going to keep looking at opportunities on optimizing and driving savings, right? So other than the one-time issues that we have with Midwest Premium, aluminum, our teams do a great job of making sure we match and drive savings for any COGS inflation. And then EMEA, APAC is where the opportunity lies. I mean that business has done a good job in terms of growth, but we have the opportunity to improve our margins there. So that’s where we try to unpack all the areas of our business to make sure we can lean on the savings side.
If you think about our investment, the way I’d leave this with is we’re not looking to step up investment in a significant way. We want to make sure that our brands are competitive. We want to make sure we are putting the right pressure against our brands across all these segments. When I talk about elevating the value segment, this is not about big investment in the value segment. This is about pointed investment in brands in particular geographies in terms of winning. We do have investments in our capabilities around systems and infrastructure and again both to drive value and efficiency to the bottom line.
So we judge that and carefully make sure we are investing in the right places, but we talked about ERP implementation, but all of that investment needs to drive some outcome. And that’s what I mean by when I talk about efficiency and value, right? So there’s not a — I would say not a significant step up in terms of investment that we’re looking for. We feel our brands are well supported and some of it is to manage the challenges we have and headwinds we have, but that’s the cost savings and making sure we invest it right. And, Tracey, do you want to take the…
Tracey Joubert
Yeah. So I think, look, we’re really proud of the work that we’ve done on our balance sheet going from a leverage ratio of 4.8 times to 2.5 times. It has given us a lot of optionality. So we have done things like we’re reducing our medium-term capex spend. If you recall, in previous years that was in the range of $750 million plus or minus. We’ve reduced that to $650 million. We also believe that we have opportunities in working capital. And so we’ll continue to focus on that. And then as we grow the top line and expand our margins through some of the efficiencies and the capabilities that we’re building, that’s obviously going to contribute to the bottom line. But we are a very cash generative business.
We have delivered on our free cash flow. And with our new share repurchase program, it does extend out to 231 (ph) and we will make the right decisions around how much and when to buy shares. But as you’ve said, we’ve done a really good job of that. I mean, we’re already 72% of the way in our previous share buyback program. So it gives us confidence that we’re able to with our strong balance sheet do all of those things. Number one, invest in the business to drive long-term sustainable growth. We’re going to be very disciplined around the investments, for example, the capital. And with that, we are able to sustainably increase the dividend and continue the buyback program.
Robert Ottenstein
Thank you very much. Robert Ottenstein, Evercore ISI. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about the fundamental change that you’re making in terms of how the organization is run by cannibility or local pricing decisions more local. So sort of number one, where did the idea or where did the change come from? And two, can you talk a little bit about execution of that, how exactly does that get executed? How you deal with national accounts? How you keep coordinated and not going to trip over yourselves in certain areas and how local those local? I mean rough idea just how does this get implemented? Thanks.
Rahul Goyal
Yeah. No, I think, Robert, that’s a great question. Again, this is something that is important. And I’ve gotten the role, we made some changes in our leadership team and it was to drive to that outcome, right? I mean, I think one of the previous questions is with all the categories challenge, we know the shape of our portfolio. So we have to figure out a way to execute with the portfolio we have and use the investments we have, right? I mean, I talk about this all the time. We’ve got to make sure our marketing dollars and our people dollars are going after the right things in the market.
So your question of how we’re going to make it, right? We took all those actions. We have the leaders of sales and marketing and our Canada business around the table now with making sure that we reoriented our regions of in the United States. And this is by the way applicable into our EMEA, APAC business. We’re making sure that we look at our investments as a collective pool and making sure we’re getting the right ROI against that by geography. What’s the right level, Robert, I think that’s a little bit more — we’ll share that a little bit later. But we want to make sure in terms of how the brands show up, your question about how do you coordinate. How the brands show up is obviously going to be in one way, right?
You’re not going to have five Coors Light or four Coors Light. You’re going to have one Coors Light, you’re going to have one Miller Lite. But how those brands are executed in those geographies matter differently, right? And this is what I say is beer is very local. And it’s true by the way for brands like Coors Light and Miller Lite and obviously for the value segment. So the question is how do we rewire our business to really drive that. So we implemented the changes in quarter four. We’re in the process of executing it. We reoriented our planning with our distributors. So this is more of our distributor-facing organization. And we frankly are leaning into that starting already in January. And this has resulted in different conversations with our distributors, right, on how we bring funds and how they bring fronts on really winning in that particular geography.
So it is the concept of there being local. It is about reorganizing our teams. And then frankly, we did the hard stuff in Q4 to really put that within our organization. The only other part I’d add is we’re also really changing the incentive plans, right, incentive plans of how we measure our people. When I talk about P&L accountability closest to the market that doesn’t mean anything if folks are not measured both on the top and the bottom-line as closest to the market as possible.
Robert Ottenstein
Great.
Christopher Carey
Hey guys. Chris Carey, Wells Fargo. Just I guess this serves as an earnings call. So I’m going to be a bit tactical about this and then strategic. But Tracey, is there any phasing considerations that you want to put out there for the guidance this year, Midwest Premium, brand volumes like whatever that is? And connected to this is some of this is going to have to or ultimately get to like an exit rate for the business. We’re talking about medium term top-line growth, bottom-line growth in a way you’re going to be measured against perhaps how you exit 2026. I don’t really know how all that will go, right? But at what point do we start anchoring you towards some of these medium-term objectives that you’ve laid out today? And what are the metrics that we should be looking at over the course of 2026 like improving market share, should we have the volumes be turning positive, like whatever you think that we should be looking at in order to gain that perspective. So just the phasing thing on this year that how do we measure you from the phasing work? Thanks.
Tracey Joubert
So let me start. So in terms of phasing, we expect the quarters to look very similar to this last year. So STW is the shape quarter-by-quarter very similar. We got the same number of days. April sort of fell into the same quarter as last year. There might be a little bit of loading for July, but really very similar. 2025 was different because we had the contract brewing arrangement that was coming out. And so it was a lot more volatile with that. In terms of the Midwest Premium, if you look back, the Midwest Premium really rapidly went up in the second half of last year. So the first half was still a little bit muted, although from February, it did sort of go up, but the big rise was really in the second half of the year. So we’ll be lapping that only in the second half. Other than that, I mean the pricing, when we take pricing, that’s all very similar. The way that we’re investing in our brands generally, we tend to invest marketing dollars more in the summer selling season where it’s massive. So you’ll probably see similar phasing around that as well.
Rahul Goyal
Yeah. And your question about what metrics and how do you see we are making progress. I’d call iut market share is obviously a key one, right? I mean, we know where we are in the category. We know the shape of our portfolio, but we are starting to share improvements. The other thing I’d call out is in the portfolio transformation journey is mix, right, being more and more of our NSR. I think the question was — so while pricing lever will lean on that where we can, but mix has to be an important aspect because that’s where the portfolio transformation happens. We’re excited about the Fever-Tree business coming into our portfolio full year ’26.
I think Lever-Tree is our biggest per hectoliter brand we have now, right? So I would say those two are the key ones. And obviously, the cost savings and our investment all is around margins, right? So those three I would say are the key metrics we’re going to keep talking about and making sure we can show progress. Along with the buyback, I know the questions about cash and buyback is fair, but we’re committed to making sure we continue on that buyback journey while we’re making sure we reset and get our business back to growth. So I think Bonnie is coming us to give us a sign. There’s one more question.
Operator
We’re running out of time. So I think we’re going to have to stop there. Please join me in thanking Molson Coors again for the upcoming reception. [Indecipherable] down the stairs, they’ll be around to hopefully answer any more of your questions and as a reminder, please don’t forget to take all of your belongings because this room will be locked. Thank you.