737 MAX Update
With no clear signs of approval from the regulator, American has taken off all the MAX flights from its schedule and cancelled the flights till November. This is going to impact the full-year pre-tax earnings to the tune of $400 million.
Q2 Update
Revenue improved 2.7% to $11.96 billion which was in line with the street estimates. Adjusted earnings grew 10% to $1.82 per share surpassing analyst consensus of $1.79 per share. Thanks to improved passenger traffic, total revenue per available seat mile (TRASM) grew 3.5% while passenger revenue per available seat mile (PRASM) increased 4%.
Cargo revenues remained weak decreasing 15.4% while improved revenues from the loyalty program boosted Other revenues by 2.9%.
Cost per available seat mile (CASM) increased 2.4% to 14.94 cents. Non-fuel costs rose 4.8% due to 737 MAX grounding issue and labor issue from the mechanics union. It’s worth noting that American is able to maintain its non-fuel costs despite the headwinds.
Looking Forward
For the third quarter, the company expects TRASM to increase 1-3% over last year and adjusted pre-tax margins to come in the range of 5.5-7.5%. Analysts are expecting top line to grow 3.9% to $12.01 billion and adjusted EPS to increase 31.8% to $1.49.
American expects full-year adjusted EPS to be between $4.50-6.00 compared to $5.19 anticipated by the street. Revenue for the fiscal 2019 is estimated to improve 3.6% to $46.16 billion by analysts.
American’s rival Southwest Airlines (LUV) today reported mixed Q2 results. The airlines earnings surpassed estimates, but the top line fell short of estimates.