Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) Q1 2021 Earnings Call Transcript

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ: SWBI) Q1 2021 earnings call dated Sep. 03, 2020

Corporate Participants:

Robert J. Cicero — Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer and Secretary

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

Analysts:

Scott Stember — C.L. King & Associates — Analyst

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

James Hardiman — Wedbush Securities — Analyst

Steve Dyer — Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC — Analyst

Mark Smith — Lake Street Capital Markets — Analyst

Presentation:

Operator

Good day, everyone and welcome to Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. First Quarter Fiscal 2021 Financial Results Conference Call. This call is being recorded.

At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Rob Cicero, General Counsel who will give us some information about today’s call.

Robert J. Cicero — Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer and Secretary

Thank you and good afternoon.

Our comments today may contain predictions, estimates and other forward-looking statements. Our use of words like anticipate, project, estimate, expect, intend, believe and other similar expressions are intended to identify those forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements also include statements regarding our product development, focus, objectives, strategies and vision; our strategic evolution; our market share and market demand for our products; market inventory conditions related to our products and in our industry in general, and growth opportunities and trends. Our forward-looking statements represent our current judgment about the future and they are subject to various risks and uncertainties.

Risk factors and other considerations that could cause our actual results to be materially different are described in our securities filings including our periodic reports on Forms 8-K, 10-K and 10-Q. You can find those documents, as well as a replay of today’s call on our website at smith-wesson.com. Today’s call contains time-sensitive information that is accurate only as of this time and we assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Our actual results could differ materially from our statements today.

I have a few important items to note about our comments on the call today. First, we reference certain non-GAAP financial measures on this call. Our non-GAAP financial results exclude acquisition-related amortization, recall-related expenses, one-time transition costs, COVID-19 expenses, and the tax effect related to all those adjustments. Reconciliations of GAAP financial measures to non-GAAP financial measures whether or not they are discussed on today’s call can be found in our securities filings as well as today’s earnings press release, which are posted on our website. Also, when we reference EPS, we are always referencing fully diluted EPS.

As many of you may know, on August 24, 2020, the company completed the previously announced spin-off of its Outdoor Products & Accessories segment. Therefore, first quarter fiscal 2021 represents the final period in which our financial results will include the Outdoor Products & Accessories segment. On the call today, we are going to focus primarily on our firearms business.

Joining us on today’s call are Mark Smith, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Deana McPherson, Chief Financial Officer.

With that, I will turn it over to Mark.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Rob and thanks everyone for joining us. First, let me recap for everyone our response related to COVID-19. From the onset of the pandemic, we have taken aggressive and decisive action to ensure the health and safety of our employees, while continuing to operate our business in this challenging environment. All of the safety precautions we spoke about on our last call, which we put in place in March and April are still in effect today. Those include travel restrictions, staggered shifts, enhanced cleaning and sanitizing, required social distancing, use of face masks, temperature screening, modified production lines, and many other changes to our workflow and daily operations, all designed to mitigate any virus spread.

In addition to keeping our employees safe, these actions have allowed us to continue operations and also give back to our community. Over the past six months, we have produced and donated tens of thousands of sets of PPE for medical professionals, and front-line personnel in our community and we are still accepting and delivering donation requests. We continue to monitor daily developments with the corona virus pandemic and stand ready to make any adjustments as needed.

I’ll now turn to our first quarter performance. I am very pleased to report that despite the enormous challenges presented by the pandemic, our team has delivered a record-breaking quarter in firearm sales. Our firearm segment revenue of $230 million represents shipments of more than 584,000 units, both of which are new records, representing milestones in the history of our great company that our employees should be extremely proud of. This achievement clearly demonstrates our ability to rapidly respond to increased demand through our flexible manufacturing model and our state-of-the-art distribution facility.

We believe these strong quarterly results have also translated into long-term market share growth. But before we go through those numbers, two quick notes; first, as a reminder, adjusted NICS background checks are generally considered to be the best available proxy for consumer firearm demand at retail. However, since NICS is a measure of consumer activity and since we transfer firearms only to law enforcement agencies and federally licensed distributors and retailers, not directly to end-consumers, NICS does not directly correlate to our shipments or market share in any given time period. We believe mostly due to inventory levels in the channel.

Secondly, as you recall, we have three main consumer sales channels; distributor, strategic retailer or SRA and buying groups. In the past, we have only provided distributor inventory levels. Going forward however, in order to provide more insight into our business, we will now provide quarterly channel inventory totals that include both strategic retailer and distributor inventory levels. Additionally, we will break down channel inventory into long guns and handguns, whereas historically, we have only provided inventory totals.

So with that, continuing on with market share. In our fiscal Q1, overall NICS Background Checks increased 111% over the comparable time-frame last year. For Smith & Wesson, total units shipped into the sporting goods channel during this time increased 114% to 549,000 units, while simultaneously, our SRA and distributor combined inventory declined by over 112,000 units.

Breaking that number down a little further, NICS check for handguns increased 141% during the quarter. Our handgun unit shipped increased by 122% to 441,000 units, while simultaneously, our handgun channel inventory dropped by 103,000 units. And finally, NICS checks for long guns increased 96% in the quarter, while our long gun units shipped increased 89% to 108,000 units, while simultaneously, our long gun channel inventory dropped by nearly 9,000 units. This all translates to a 58% decline in channel inventory for our products in spite of a record quarter in unit shipments from our facilities, which we believe indicates very strong market share growth.

Our internal finished goods inventory also declined by almost 48% or $28 million during the quarter. As we’ve seen before during these surge periods, these results reflect that despite our record numbers in market share growth, consumer demand for our products during the quarter still exceeded our internal manufacturing capacity levels. This again highlights the unique benefit provided by our flexible manufacturing model. You may recall that we have referenced this model in prior calls. This allows us to capture the benefit of sudden increases in demand without incurring long lead times and the high cost of adding manufacturing infrastructure that has been idled when demand decreases. As we discussed on our last call, we have fully re-engaged our third-party component manufacturing partners and are aggressively ramping production to meet incoming orders and this ramp continues today. Further, we were able to utilize our state-of-the-art distribution center to deliver products more efficiently and rapidly than ever before.

Moving now to our go-forward plan that we have been speaking about for the past few quarters. As you are aware, we successfully spun-off our Outdoor Products & Accessories segment last week and we have now returned to Smith & Wesson’s heritage as a pure play firearms company with a focus on organic growth, to returning excess capital to our stockholders. I am therefore very excited to announce that our Board of Directors has authorized the company to declare a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.05 per share. Our first quarterly dividend will be payable on October 1st to shareholders of record as of September 17th.

Before I hand the call over to Deana for the financial highlights, I just wanted to speak about the tremendous program that our sales and marketing teams have launched in the last few weeks. The current increase in consumer demand for firearms is in many ways unparalleled. A recent poll of firearms retailers conducted by NSSF estimates that between 40% to 60% of the consumers purchasing firearms are first time gun owners who are looking to exercise their second amendment rights to protect themselves and their families. Since March, the NSSF estimates that nearly 5 million Americans have purchased their first firearm.

Not only are we seeing record new consumer entrants in the markets, but those new entrants are serving to broaden and diversify the core base of firearms consumers with the two fastest growing segments of new gun owners being women and African Americans. In light of this new surge, and as part of our continued commitment to safe and responsible gun ownership, we have launched an innovative, nationwide outreach campaign called GUNSMARTS. We have three goals with this program. First, welcome these new gun owners to our industry; second, make sure they know how to safely use and store their firearms; and finally, provide instructional resources from Smith & Wesson on increasing shooting proficiency, help them understand the basics of firearms functions and help them locate welcoming hands on training, ranges, and other resources, everything a first time gun owner would want to know, but may not want to ask. GUNSMARTS is the only program of its kind on the market today. Using the very top professional shooters and instructors in the industry, we have produced over 60 instructional online videos and tips to help convey best practices, all regardless of the brand of firearm purchased.

Further, we are providing free of charge, and again, regardless of the brand of firearm purchased, a welcome kit to new gun owners that includes Smith & Wesson branded safety glasses, hearing protection, instructional booklets and a link to our online platform containing the video library. This program launched in mid-August and by mid-September, we will have donated over 40,000 GUNSMARTS boxes to new gun owners. In collaboration with other industry partners, GUNSMARTS will also offer several sweepstakes over the next few months to keep our new consumers engaged. As an industry, and as a company, we are dedicated to safe and responsible gun ownership and we are proud to be able to welcome these new gun owners to our community. Please visit www.smith-wesson.com/gunsmarts to see the program tools for yourself.

And with that, I will turn the call over to Deana.

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Mark. Although we have now completed the spin-off of our Outdoor Products & Accessories business, our filings today represent our first quarter which ended on July 31st. Therefore, our Form 10-Q which was filed this afternoon reflects results that includes the spun-off business in our operating results.

Beginning with our second fiscal quarter, the Outdoor Products & Accessories business will be reported as discontinued operations. The significant increase in consumer demand that started in the middle of March continued throughout our first quarter and led to total combined company revenues of $278 million, a $154.3 million increase or more than double the prior year results. This increase was driven by a $134.4 million or a 141% increase in firearm revenue, resulting in a record first quarter firearm segment revenue of $230 million. These incredible results are a testament to our operations management team that increased firearms production output, utilizing a combination of targeted headcount increases and continued activation of our flexible manufacturing model, all while keeping our employees safe during the pandemic. Total company gross margin of 42% was 3.3% higher than the prior year on improved volume in both segments.

Turning now to a discussion of just the firearms segment, which generated margins of 40.2%. Increased unit shipments, combined with a reduction in promotional activity and only slightly offset by pandemic-related cost resulted in a 3.1% increase in gross margins over the prior year. In June of last year, we began reporting the federal excise tax change in our revenue and now that it has been in place for a full year, this will be the last time we reference that in comparison to a prior year quarter. This change, if applied to the fiscal 2020 quarter would have had a $4 million impact on revenue and a negative 1.5% impact on gross margin to that prior year quarter.

Total company operating expenses were $4.6 million higher than the prior year due to $3.6 million of spin-off costs and $2.8 million of increased profit sharing expense. Increased volume related customer allowances were more than offset by reduced travel, lower advertising costs and lower employee medical costs, likely due to the deferral of elective procedures resulting from the pandemic. The increase in revenue in gross margin led to a significant profit gain as compared to the prior year comparable quarter including net income of $48.4 million, GAAP earnings per share of $0.86, non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.97, and adjusted EBITDA of $84.2 million.

During the quarter, we generated $83.5 million in cash from operations and spent $7.6 million on capital equipment, leaving $75.8 million in free cash. We also repaid $135 million on a revolving line of credit, leaving $25 million outstanding on the revolver and zero net debt. After the end of the first quarter, as part of the spin-off process, we restructured a credit facility for a new five-year term that enables us to maintain an unsecured $100 million line of credit for this foreseeable future.

With that, operator, can we please open the call to questions from our analysts.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Scott Stember with C.L. King. Your line is now open.

Scott Stember — C.L. King & Associates — Analyst

Good evening and thanks for taking my questions.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Scott.

Scott Stember — C.L. King & Associates — Analyst

Maybe just talk about the market share, again, I guess, kind of like what we saw last quarter, you are speaking to the fact that NICS and your shipments were, I guess, your numbers were a little bit lighter to the fact that distributors are working down on your inventory. I just wanted to make sure if that’s still — is that’s what you are trying to get at?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. If you remember last quarter, we are actually talking about the SRAs that really drove that difference in NICS and inventory. So, I mean, obviously, it’s just a nice [Phonetic] balance. So the NICS obviously is a measure of what’s happening at the counter with the consumer and we have that — we have our three channel partners, our three channels in between us, our shipping dock and what’s happening at the counters. So the major driver we believe of difference between our results and NICS results is what’s happening with the inventory in the channel.

So during that time-frame, if you recall from that earnings call, we had a significant increase — sorry, significant decrease in inventory at one of our SRA accounts. So therefore, they were not replenishing from us whereas this time, we’ve had significant decreases in inventory across the board internally at all the channels and we are still obviously, as you can see from the results, pretty heavy on shipments which tells us that this is significant — you kind of got to add those numbers together to get what our true kind of flow through was.

Scott Stember — C.L. King & Associates — Analyst

Got it. And going forward, obviously, you guys have a very favorable set-up, utilizing outsourcing and stuff like that. But how are you seeing the picture for the next few quarters? Do you think you can easily keep up with demand or will there get to be a point where you are not able to close that gap what you are seeing on the inventory side?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I don’t want to get too much in the forward-looking statements and I think, just directionally we can talk about history and what’s happened before in the past. When we get into these surge environments like this and as you can see from the NICS results, we have never seen one quite this high. The demand in the industry in general, this outstrips the industry’s ability to supply and we are no different.

So, when that, the industry goes through cycles that we’ve talked about for years and you are seeing, so how that turns around and when it turns around, I guess, we are not going to — I guess, speculate about what those drivers are going to be. But again, we are very, very well set up as you mentioned with our flexible model to continue increases. And we are — I mean, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, we are continuing to increase today. There does come a point though where there is only so much we can do and whether that’s going to meet the demand or not and I guess, we’ll see.

Scott Stember — C.L. King & Associates — Analyst

All right. That’s all I have for now. Thank you.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Scott.

Operator

Our next question comes from Cai von Rumohr with Cowen. Your line is now open.

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

Yes. Thank you very much. Great quarter obviously. So, I guess I didn’t quite get, so you said that the inventories were down 103 in handguns and 98 or excuse me, 9,000 in long guns. So, that’s year-over-year, correct?

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

No.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

No, that’s in the quarter, from —

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

Actually in the quarter, okay. So which gets to the next point and are you going to break, I think you said, you would break all that down. I didn’t see it in the Q.

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

Right. Cai, we did send the script information to you, so that you could get the numbers that were in the script so that you could understand what that was. What we did just show you what the reduction in the quarter was and compare that to our units. So like you say, with handgun units being increased shipments of 122% and then the 103,000 units, you can quickly figure out that the 141% NICS handgun units up is very comparable. So it shows that more than likely we are taking market share because of our ability to ship that much and what was taken out of the channel.

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

Got it. And then, the NICS were up, about [Phonetic] 51% in August and looking at where your inventory was and where distributor inventories were at the end of July, were the NICS adversely impacted by just lack of supply?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Absolutely. Yeah, absolutely. I think the industry in general, as you have mentioned, I think we are into one of those surges where the industry’s ability to supply is outstripped by the demand. And I think what you saw — obviously, you can look at the inventory numbers from us and from to some of the other firearms retailers and manufacturers and I think we are just out of inventory.

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

Got it. Okay. And then, so when do you want to give us the — you mentioned that AOUT is going to be treated as a disco, but in doing our models, when is that going to happen? That’s going to happen with the next quarter, so we’ll get all the restated numbers?

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

Yes. When we do our second quarter in December, everything from May 1st forward will be removed and last year’s numbers will be restated with that as a discontinued operation.

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

But we won’t get them until then.

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

Correct. You can look at the 8-K that was filed that will give you the 2019 — fiscal 2019, fiscal 2020 discontinued ops for like an annual.

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

Got it. Okay.

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

That should help.

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

Excellent. Okay. Super. Thank you very much.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Cai.

Operator

Our next question comes from James Hardiman with Wedbush Securities. Your line is now open.

James Hardiman — Wedbush Securities — Analyst

Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. Obviously, a great quarter. Just a clarification on the guidance. Obviously, most companies hold guidance heading into COVID. But is this more than that — is this a go-forward assumption that the standalone firearms business will not be giving us guidance going forward?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. That’s correct. If you recall in the last call, we kind of talked about — I mean, we really — we were looking for more of a longer-term focus, obviously, this industry is going to be, well aware pretty cyclical and we are managing for the long-term, we are not going to be providing quarterly guidance anymore.

James Hardiman — Wedbush Securities — Analyst

Okay. That’s what I thought. And but just help me understand how to think about where you are from a manufacturing perspective? Obviously, your own internal inventories are way low. You talked about how retailer inventories are way low. It sounds like you are going to be pushing your plans at sort of maximum output as well as the third-party manufacturing for some time. I just want to get my head around, as I think about what you delivered in the first quarter, is there room for upside to that number, meaning, right, if you are —

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

I got your question.

James Hardiman — Wedbush Securities — Analyst

If you are pushing out as much as you can for the next — and I guess, you probably know the answer. I mean, we are already two-thirds of the way through this quarter. But how should I think about sort of manufacturing capacity and where you were in the first quarter and if there is any room left there?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I think, even though we do have a very flexible model, you got to remember that, where the lead time for making a firearm is long in terms of it’s not noted in weeks, it’s noted in months. And so, a turn up in manufacturing and CNC capacity will translate into a finished good coming off of the line. It’s going to be — if you are looking at somewhere in six to eight week kind of time-frame. So we are continuing to ramp, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks right now. But you are right, we are pushing that the — we are going to go to maximum capacity and I think you can kind of think of that like what we did in the first quarter, you took $28 million out of internal inventory, we will replace and you got to think about that in terms of sales value, not that’s cost. So in terms of sales value, we will replace a significant portion of that better than half. And so, yes, meaning get to the point where we are capacity constrained. I think, again, if we go back and look at the previous surges and kind of look at the tail-end quarters of those previous surges, you can probably get, and try to kind of point you in that direction.

James Hardiman — Wedbush Securities — Analyst

Okay. And then, last, just real quick clarification, maybe I am doing the math wrong here. But, and it’s a small point, but long gun unit sales were up — not quite double, but dollar sales were up more than 4 times. So it seems like there was a big ASP jump in long guns. A, am I doing that math right? And B, if so, what’s going on there?

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

So, what you might remember is that, last year at this time, we had a discontinuation of certain Thompson Center products. So there was a bulk purchase that sort of cleared out the channel for a period from, say, July to January when the new products were launched. So the ASP definitely has been impacted in last year versus this year given that we have the new products out there. They are buying on a normal trend. So this is a more normalized lack of promotional pricing that you are seeing in the ASP.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I think, James, you can kind of think last year was abnormally low. This year, it’s not abnormally high.

James Hardiman — Wedbush Securities — Analyst

Okay. That’s perfect. Appreciate it guys.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah.

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Steve Dyer with Craig-Hallum. Your line is now open.

Steve Dyer — Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC — Analyst

Thanks. Good afternoon. I appreciate the additional granularity. Just following up on the last question. So I understand certainly there were some reasons that ASPs were impacted to the negative last year. But they are up fairly significantly even quarter-over-quarter and I am guessing, that has a lot to do with just little to no discounting. Is this kind of as we look forward at least for the last several quarters, are these sort of reasonable numbers to use. I just don’t want to assume something if mix was really optimal or anything like that?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

No, I think they are — I mean, obviously, you’ve got it. I mean, it’s promotions. We are not doing any promotions right now. We didn’t really do any promotions at all through our Q1. We ramped down the last of them. I mean, I am trying to think back and I don’t think we ship them really much of anything in terms of promotional orders in our quarter. So you can kind of take that and drive it forward. I think that probably answers your question.

Steve Dyer — Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC — Analyst

Got it. And then, just sort of similar to asking a previous question differently. With respect to COVID, in terms of production capacity, have you had any hindrances or impacts from whether it be missed stage of work or just having to space things out or are you finding that you are as efficient as you were sort of in previous surges?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I think when the pandemic first hit and we were obviously, everybody in the country and the world was trying to figure out, where we go from here, we definitely had some efficiency impacts and as we are kind of re-laying our lines out and putting barriers in between stations that couldn’t socially distance, etc. But as we now, we’ve been dealing with this for the last six, seven months, I think we’ve kind of hit our stride, our operations management team, I cannot say enough about what an absolutely tremendous job they did and really being able to keep all of our employees safe first and foremost and then react to this increase in demand that we saw and really it’s kudos to them for these results. So, yeah, I mean, I don’t think, we are really not seeing much in the way of efficiency losses from it at this point.

Steve Dyer — Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC — Analyst

Okay. And then, I think, as we are approaching another contentious election here, I mean, you talked a little bit about the lead time being measured in months and not weeks, and thinking back to the last election when it was — the whole industry zigged and the results zigged, I guess, so to speak. But will you do anything differently as you sense in terms of ordering patterns from the channel at all different this time around so that you don’t end up in the same predicament that if things don’t go your way, I guess, is it by making any bets in terms of ramping up, scaling down etc?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I think it is been talked about a lot. I do think that this election cycle is different in terms of what’s happening now with this surge. The surge is really not — I mean, yes, of course, there is some portion of the surge that’s related to gun control regulation fears. But the majority of the — at least a vast — a large portion, I am not saying the majority, we don’t know if we know that. But I mean, a large portion of the demand is driven by folks who are just here for their personal protection and safety with starting with the pandemic and moving on to the civil unrest. So I think, the NSSF had put a number out last week or a week before that estimating 5 million new shooters into the market or new gun owners into the market since March.

So really, I do think that this bodes very well for us into the future in terms of those — a significant portion of those. We estimate usually somewhere between somewhere around a quarter of those in a normal environment we’ll stay participating and we are pushing hard, as I mentioned with the GUNSMARTS program to make sure that we engage those consumers and keep them for the long-term. So, I think it’s going to be different after this election. I am not anticipating that we are going to have the large fall-off that we did.

And then the other big piece of that is inventory. If you look at inventory in the channel right now and it’s just non-existent. So, for us to kind of refill the channel even if and when the demand ever does slow down, I think we are going to have a little bit of a softer landing, whereas if you look — I think if you look at the inventory in the channel in 2016, inventory levels were already fairly healthy. And so, there was no channels, so, after the election cycle one. You said zigged and we zagged.

Steve Dyer — Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC — Analyst

So pedal the metal for the foreseeable future. One last question just on the dividend. I guess, to the extent you can or willing to share, just the dividend policy is the idea there, but it’s sort of a baseline level that you can sort of service through all cycles in any kind of weather or because if you keep generating free cash flow at the rate you are generating it over the next several quarters, you are going to have quite a stash. Is the idea that it’s going to be a fixed dividend with the potential for a special at some point or is it something that you, like one of your competitors sort of pegged to net income or free cash flow, something like that?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

No, it’s going to be fixed and the first part of your question there is, where we are at. So I mean, obviously, we came out of the gate. We want to get into the dividend as we’ve been talking about for the past year now. We want to return excess capital to the shareholders and we are starting off at a level that we are extremely comfortable with. And you can draw your conclusions from there. I mean, I think you are right. I mean, so there is probably upside there on the dividend, but it is going to be fixed.

Steve Dyer — Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC — Analyst

Got it. All right. Thanks. Well done.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks.

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Mark Smith with Lake Street Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Mark Smith — Lake Street Capital Markets — Analyst

Hi guys, first off, I want to dig into the long gun break down just a little bit here on units, as well as the ASP. Last year, obviously some Thompson Center stuff that impacted that. As we look today, can you talk at all about mix between kind of TC rifles and kind of modern sporting rifles and any impact that that’s having as we look at manufacturing right now and shipping right now where your focus really is?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I don’t think we’ve ever provided that kind of break down and we are still not yet, Mark. So, I mean, I’ll kind of point you to back to how the surges usually work is, it’s gun control, in an environment whereas gun control it’s going to be the MSRs and the pistol — polymer frame pistols followed by revolvers and then down to hunting. So this one is a little bit different in terms of the fact that we got people, it’s not necessarily driven so much by fear of gun control regulation and just general feel of fear of personal safety. But directionally, that’s kind of how the surges go. So I don’t — I feel that provides you any color you can use or not.

Mark Smith — Lake Street Capital Markets — Analyst

Okay. Do you feel like you’ve been able to shift manufacturing to be able to hit the demand — high demand for MSRs currently?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. We are very, – as I’ve mentioned, we are very flexible in terms of our mix and as we talked about before I think on some of the Investor Days, our internal capacity is very flexible in between product lines. So what machines that we use to make revolver really can also make pistols we can also — so we have a very flexible internal capacity base that can move depending on the market mix.

Mark Smith — Lake Street Capital Markets — Analyst

Okay. And then, as we look at ASP maybe in long gun and on handgun, can you talk to excluding kind of promotions going away. Kind of your ASP, have you guys taken any across the board price increases on just kind of a typical — even if we look at MSRP or where the selling price is for you guys right now?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

We did not, in our first quarter, but typically our pricing adjustments usually come towards the tail-end of our second quarter.

Mark Smith — Lake Street Capital Markets — Analyst

Okay. And that kind of leads to my next question. Gross profit margin obviously was big kind of back to kind of peak gross profit margins. Is there any reason as you look at the environment right now and I know that you are not giving guidance. But is there any pressures out there or any reason that you can’t continue to drive gross profit margin in the near-term at this — let’s call it roughly 40% level?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

I’ll just talk to — I mean, our main drivers of our gross margin as I think Deana talked about, I mean, the main driver were manufacturing facility. We have a 600,000 — 700,000 square foot facility here in a couple — so the point being, we are really a manufacturing facility and volume is a huge piece of our ability to drive the gross margins that you saw in Q1, so.

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. And the other thing I would say is, as long as the promotional environment remains the way it is now, virtually non-existent, the margins are going to be better.

Mark Smith — Lake Street Capital Markets — Analyst

Okay. And then as we look at manufacturing, can you guys speak at all to the cadence of production or maybe the cadence of shipments as we look at this 584,000 units, can you talk at all about kind of monthly break down or how it flowed during the quarter?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

I can tell you that, again back to the — to how the surges usually happen and that we end up — we typically end up in a filled out situation as an industry in general and I would look at the numbers right now and definitely indicate that we are probably in that situation right now. So it’s come down to a matter of how much can you produce and get out the door. So the cadence is pretty steady. It’s kind of you dictate what it is.

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

One thing I would point out is that, we do still maintain our shutdown period. We don’t operate a week — last week of July, first week of August. We do have some light operations during that period of time, but generally speaking, we used to talk quite a bit about like the number of days of production and so the number of days we are a week short in July, a week short in August and sort of the second quarter. We are close between Christmas and New Year and then the fourth quarter for us always has the most production days, because it is in the holiday and it is in the shutdown. So that’s just a normal kind of cadence of our quarters.

Mark Smith — Lake Street Capital Markets — Analyst

Okay. And then just as we kind of look down the income statement little bit, I don’t know if you guys can or willing to give us some break down of operating expenses. maybe that would be allocated to Smith & Wesson versus American Outdoor during the quarter, especially as we look at selling and marketing expense during the quarter?

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

We can’t really do that at this point. The only thing we can do is point you towards the segment reporting that we do in the Q and you can look at the discontinued ops reporting that we filed and I think it was August 26th. And you could also look at the Form 10 that AOUT filed on August 3rd. Other than that, unfortunately, we have to wait, because we have to go through a lot of work for the discontinued ops and we have to get auditors to buy off on all of that work to. So we can’t really provide that right now as much as we might want to.

Mark Smith — Lake Street Capital Markets — Analyst

Okay. And then just to make sure that we are looking at things the right way. As we look at the license revenue, with the inter-segment revenue that’s reported, I think it was just over $1 million in the quarter. Is that purely license revenue or is there anything else that’s kind of driving that?

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

No, that’s very much purchases back and forth between the companies. As you know, Crimson Trace is a supplier to Smith & Wesson for our firearms. So, inter-company revenue there would be, our purchases from Crimson Trace, so our purchases of other products from the AOUT business.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Okay. Wouldn’t that be hitting the $1.5 million, let’s call it on the Outdoor Products & Accessories side, correct on there.

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

Right.

Mark Smith — Lake Street Capital Markets — Analyst

I am looking more so on the inter-segment revenues, just over $1 million on the firearm segment.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

We sell them certain — just as they sell us certain components, we sell them certain components, I am not sure.

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

Yeah.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

You are aware. They are a licensee for us, going forward. So that’s us shipping components that they end up packaging and then marketing and selling for us.

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

Licensing is in that number, but it’s not all of licensing.

Mark Smith — Lake Street Capital Markets — Analyst

Okay. Great. Thank you.

Operator

We have a follow-up question from the line of Cai von Rumohr with Cowen. Your line is now open.

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

Yes. Thank you. Given the super cash flow you have, I took a look at your cash flow over the last nine years to kind of take out cycles and it totaled like $63 million on average, but most of that’s clearly SWBI. So as I look at your fixed dividend a little under $12 million, that looks like, it’s very skimpy. What’s your strategy going to be? I mean, you want to have a fixed dividend, but you are way under what your average cash flow has been. So what does it take you to consider raising that dividend and how do you think about share repurchase in the mix?

Deana L. McPherson — Chief Financial Officer

So there is a couple of things there, Cai. We are just starting out and this is a Board decision, but this is something that you don’t want to come out really high in a surge environment as a fixed dividend and then have to walk it back. We want to give our long-term investors something that they can rely on. So, over-time, if we do find that we are generating too much cash, we will look at whether that can be increased. But right now, there is uncertainty with an election, with COVID, with what’s happening in the world today that coming out during a surge and trying to peg something to a surge cash flow is not something that we think would be prudent. So right now, what we’ve done is we’ve spoken with the Board and come up with a conservative and determinable amount that we should have no problem whatsoever continuing over the long-term. And after we get through some time, we’ll go back and may evaluate, whether that’s something that needs to be increased.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Cai, I think you can — I mean, we are very much thinking of it as it’s the starting point.

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

Got it. And then in terms of your operating uses of cash, well in terms of capex I am thinking specifically, given the huge surge in demand, is there any thought that you would bump capex and I don’t really know where the capex might be or is that’s still going to be relatively small?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. As you can see in the investor presentation that think we filed on back in July and we’ve spoken with some of you about during one of these surges, we expect our capex to be somewhere in the $20 million to $25 million range, but it could be $10 million to $12 million of surge capacity that we add during one of these periods, if and when it makes sense. But if it’s not going to be back in the ten years ago when we were adding $40 million, $50 million of capacity, that’s just not the case anymore. So it won’t be any more than $10 million to $12 million.

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

Right. And then the last one, I think you said one of the potential uses of cash is share repurchase. Given your business has been violently cyclical in terms of swings over the years, how do you think about doing share repurchase? I mean, how does that fit into your deployment thinking at what point would you say, okay, now we got to buy or how do you think about that?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. We can’t get too much into detail there, because obviously, I mean that’s a Board decision. But directionally, I mean, I don’t think it’s any kind of a rocket science that if we think the shares are undervalued, we are going to push for a share repurchase and that is definitely one of the options that’s on the table. But in terms — but specifically how we end up treating some future excess cash if we end up in that situation, really that’s going to be a Board decision. We very much are looking for predictability around our dividends. So if we do increase the dividends, we are always going to be looking for something that we can sustain in the long run. And on share repurchases, then that’s definitely one of the things that’s at the top of the list. We are evaluating if we think the shares end up being undervalued.

Cai von Rumohr — Cowen & Co LLC — Analyst

Thank you very much.

Operator

We have a follow-up question from the line of James Hardiman with Wedbush Securities. Your line is now open.

James Hardiman — Wedbush Securities — Analyst

Hey, just a quick, sort of bigger picture question. We’ve talked a number of times about how many sort of new consumers there are purchasing firearms. I think the number that you mentioned in the prepared remarks, 40% to 60%, obviously a pretty wide range there in terms of what portion of sales this year or maybe that was since March, were first time gun owners. What does that normally, so we could sort of gauge? Obviously, there is always some new gun buyers, but is it twice as many new gun consumers, is it normally is, how do we think about that?

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

I don’t know that I can actually give you a number on that that I wouldn’t be taking an educated guess at. So I would say, James, the best thing to do there is, go to the NSSF website and they’ll probably have that information there. I just don’t have it right in front of me. It’s significantly higher now than it’s — like significantly, I would say more — I think your double numbers probably in the ballpark or maybe even a little conservative, so.

James Hardiman — Wedbush Securities — Analyst

Okay. Totally fair. Appreciate it.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah.

Operator

That concludes today’s question-and-answer session. I’d like to turn the call back to Mark Smith for closing remarks.

Mark P. Smith — President and Chief Executive Officer

All right. Thank you, and thanks everyone for joining us today. I did just want to close by congratulating and thanking all of the dedicated and talented employees in the company for an absolutely exceptional quarter. Everybody please stay safe and we look forward to speaking with you in December.

Operator

[Operator Closing Remarks]