Estimates
The consensus estimate for second-quarter profit is $0.32 per share, which is down from last year’s $0.34 per share and comes at the higher end of the management’s outlook range. Revenues are expected to drop 4.20% annually to about $1 billion. Like in the past, the top-line growth will be driven by the American Eagle and Aerie brands. Earlier, the company had predicted positive comparable store sales growth, but in a low-single-digit.
Strain on Margin
The modest outlook reflects potential disruptions caused by the store remodeling activities. Though the online sales trend is encouraging, higher expenses related to logistics and store reorganization might restrict margin growth in the to-be-reported quarter.
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It is expected that higher selling, general and administrative expenses, mainly reflecting costs associated with promotional activities and investments, will impact profitability during the remainder of the year.
In the first quarter, adjusted earnings moved up 4% annually to $0.24 per share, aided by an 8% growth in revenues to $886.29 million. There was a 6% growth in comparable-store sales. The results also exceeded the market’s forecast.
Competitors
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) this week reported a net loss for the second quarter, when sales declined modestly. The unimpressive performance and concerns about the trade-related uncertainties prompted the management to lower its full-year guidance. Earlier, Guess? (GES) published stronger-than-expected earnings and revenues for its most recent quarter, triggering a stock rally. The company also issued positive guidance for the third quarter and full fiscal year.
Related: American Eagle Outfitters Q1 2019 Earnings Call Transcript
Shares of American Eagle Outfitters dropped to a two-year low in Mid-August after losing momentum consistently in recent months. Since the beginning of 2019, the stock lost about 13%.